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"title": "辉达获利狂奔、估值却掉队!14.5倍本益比背后 华尔街在担心什么?",
"shortTitle": "辉达获利狂奔、估值却掉队!14.5倍本益比背后 华尔街在担心",
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"description": "辉达加码1500亿美元回购,执行长黄仁勋称是买回自家股票的大好机会。 辉达2028会计年度预估本益比14.5倍,近五年平均62.9倍;市值逾5.5兆美元。 分析师估2028年净利近3850亿美元、营收增70%;瑞银估回购可使2027年EPS增0.08美元。",
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"content": "<p>辉达(NVDA-US)日前宣布加码1,500亿美元股票回购授权,创公司纪录之际,其股票按一项关键估值指标衡量,已处于近十年最便宜水准。执行长黄仁勋认为,这正是买回自家股票的大好机会。</p>\n<p style=\"text-align:center;\"><img src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6618061/l/c61f80e460997a893a13a5bf7bd91eba.jpg\" alt=\"辉达获利狂奔、估值却掉队!14.5倍本益比背后 华尔街在担心什么?\" style=\"width:50%;height:auto;border-radius:6px;margin:15px auto;display:block;\"></p>\n\n\n<p>据《CNBC》周二(29日)报导,辉达将于明年2月展开的2028会计年度,预估本益比仅14.5倍,在大型同业中仅高于美光(MU-US)。其过去五年当期本益比平均为62.9倍,是目前水准的两倍以上。</p>\n\n<p>辉达市值已超过5.5兆美元,稳居全球市值最高企业,今年股价上涨23%、表现优于那斯达克指数,却仍追不上预期获利成长速度。分析师平均预估,2028会计年度净利将接近3,850亿美元,年增60%,并达三年前的五倍以上。</p>\n\n<h6>加码回购回馈股东 黄仁勋喊兼具成长与价值</h6>\n\n<p>这次新增授权是在5月宣布的800亿美元回购计划之外加码;辉达当时也将每季现金股利由每股0.01美元提高至0.25美元。公司周一另推出管理AI代理的新软硬体方案,当天股价上涨近2%。</p>\n\n<p>Post Oak Group董事总经理Karan Ramchandani表示,回购清楚传达管理层认为股价遭低估,获利成长快于股价,也让买回股票成为公司眼中未来一年最好的投资。</p>\n\n<p>随着建置与运行AI模型所需的绘图处理器(GPU)需求推升营收及现金流,辉达8月预估,2028会计年度营收将成长70%,意味营收将比华尔街先前预测高出数千亿美元。</p>\n\n<p>黄仁勋本月在高盛(GS-US)会议上表示,市场「误解」辉达,称公司是全球首家、也是唯一兼具成长与价值的股票。他上月便称回购辉达股票是「绝佳机会」,周一再表示,未来将创造大量现金,希望回馈股东。</p>\n\n<p>辉达先前表示,计划将约半数自由现金流回馈投资人。若全数执行现有回购授权,流通股数可望减少4%。</p>\n\n<h6>估值低于主要对手 市场担忧高成长难延续</h6>\n\n<p>Deepwater Asset Management管理合伙人Gene Munster指出,投资人担心,历经数年爆发式成长后,辉达成长率将放缓,这正是估值受到压抑的原因。</p>\n\n<p>以相近期间衡量,苹果(AAPL-US)、Alphabet(GOOGL-US)、微软(MSFT-US)及亚马逊(AMZN-US)预估本益比分别为35.5、22.6、21.7及23.2倍,均高于辉达。AI资料中心晶片对手博通(AVGO-US)、超微(AMD-US)及英特尔(INTC-US)则分别为18.2、38.2及54.7倍,且没有一家预估明年营收成长70%。</p>\n\n<p>博通替OpenAI与Alphabet旗下Google开发客制晶片;超微虽在GPU市场与辉达竞争,市占仍远落其后;英特尔以中央处理器为主,也曾涉足AI晶片,但尚无足以抗衡辉达GPU的产品。</p>\n\n<p>Melius Research分析师Ben Reitzes维持买进评等,认为辉达的成长率值得更高估值,扩大回购将有助改善。瑞银(UBS-US)则估计,加码回购可使2027历年每股盈余增加0.08美元,其对该年度每股盈余预估为17.16美元。</p>\n<div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n <ul>\n <li><a href=\"/hour/article-17767.html\" title=\"美伊外交谈判陷僵局 中东原油出口回升难压油价涨势\">美伊外交谈判陷僵局 中东原油出口回升难压油价涨势</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/hour/article-17717.html\" title=\"美债殖利率飙升+油价高涨 亚股震荡 全球面临高利率新常态\">美债殖利率飙升+油价高涨 亚股震荡 全球面临高利率新常态</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/hour/article-17747.html\" title=\"〈陆股盘后〉中国释经济刺激信号 三大指数走高\">〈陆股盘后〉中国释经济刺激信号 三大指数走高</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/hour/article-17730.html\" title=\"中国市场疲软与中东局势拖累 丰田汽车全球销量连7月年减\">中国市场疲软与中东局势拖累 丰田汽车全球销量连7月年减</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/hour/article-17800.html\" title=\"美军海上封锁后 伊朗至中国铁路货运量增加十倍\">美军海上封锁后 伊朗至中国铁路货运量增加十倍</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/hour/article-17728.html\" title=\"抗中东与AI通膨!澳洲央行升息1码至4.6% 创15年新高且不排除再升\">抗中东与AI通膨!澳洲央行升息1码至4.6% 创15年新高且不排除再升</a></li>\n </ul>\n</div>",
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