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"title": "罗素3000成分股逾半回档逾20% 摩根士丹利喊买工业股",
"shortTitle": "罗素3000成分股逾半回档逾20% 摩根士丹利喊买工业股",
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"description": "标普500今年涨近13%，但罗素3000自6月来逾54%成分股跌幅超过20%。 摩根士丹利Mike Wilson称，基本面仍稳的周期股可逢低布局，工业股风险回报比最佳。 标普500预估本益比回落至19倍，工业股获利上修率升至38%，CAT、GD受看好。",
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"content": "<p>尽管美股标普500指数今年以来累计上涨近13%，但许多个股近期却面临沉重卖压。摩根士丹利策略分析师团队指出，自今年6月以来，罗素3000指数中已有超过54%的成分股跌幅超过20%。</p>\n<p style=\"text-align:center;\"><img src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6621863/l/1b1482ced0fb4ff90188498b0c0eab19.jpg\" alt=\"罗素3000成分股逾半回档逾20% 摩根士丹利喊买工业股\" style=\"width:50%;height:auto;border-radius:6px;margin:15px auto;display:block;\"></p>\n\n\n<p>摩根士丹利首席美国股票策略师Mike Wilson及其团队在研究报告中表示，虽然他们继续偏好优质股，但由于许多个股价格严重受挫，目前可开始为基本面依然完好的周期性股票，寻求更好的布局时机，其中，工业股具备最佳的风险回报比。</p>\n\n<p>Wilson及其团队进一步分析，标普500指数的预估本益比已回落至19倍左右，接近今年3月的低点。</p>\n\n<p>与此同时，企业每股盈余(EPS)成长率仍维持在中双位数(mid-teens)，且上修获利预期的分析师人数多于下修者。</p>\n\n<p>Wilson团队强调：「这种组合表明，评价修整的进程远比单看大盘指数所显示的更为深入。」意即在企业获利基本面维持稳健的情况下，股价下跌压低了本益比估值。</p>\n\n<p>随着市场资金先前过度转向轻资产与服务导向型企业，重资产领域在经历评价修正后，展现出极具吸引力的买点。Wilson团队特别看好以开拓重工(CAT-US)与通用动力(GD-US)为代表的重资产工业股。</p>\n\n<p>数据显示，工业股获利预期获得上修的分析师比例已从今年2月的16%大幅跃升至目前的38%，但其股价年增幅却从49%放缓至10%。</p>\n\n<p>Wilson团队指出：「根据30年的月度数据，若获利上修动能达到今日的水准，通常对应约30%的股价年增幅，显示此族群当前价位显著低于获利修正所暗示的应有水准。」</p>\n<div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n <ul>\n <li><a href=\"/hour/article-18600.html\" title=\"AMRO警告：亚洲主要经济体高度暴露于AI泡沫风险\">AMRO警告：亚洲主要经济体高度暴露于AI泡沫风险</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/hour/article-18647.html\" title=\"一诠9月营收7.8亿元创历史新高 均热片营收占比逼近5成\">一诠9月营收7.8亿元创历史新高 均热片营收占比逼近5成</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/hour/article-18645.html\" title=\"〈房产〉台北市水源二、三期整宅公办都更审议通过 将投资76亿元兴建大楼\">〈房产〉台北市水源二、三期整宅公办都更审议通过 将投资76亿元兴建大楼</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/hour/article-18602.html\" title=\"泽伦斯基示警：俄罗斯疑向北韩分享「喷射无人机」技术\">泽伦斯基示警：俄罗斯疑向北韩分享「喷射无人机」技术</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/hour/article-18669.html\" title=\"大立光9月营收57.79亿元月增15.31% 仍处市场拉货旺季\">大立光9月营收57.79亿元月增15.31% 仍处市场拉货旺季</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/hour/article-18646.html\" title=\"叩关5万点创高还能买？ 巨亨买基金：前3季绩效翻倍基金 9成由台股包办\">叩关5万点创高还能买？ 巨亨买基金：前3季绩效翻倍基金 9成由台股包办</a></li>\n </ul>\n</div>",
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