天天财经-提供金融入门知识-投资理财技巧-〈纽约汇市〉美元守住18个月高点中东局势紧张、美国通膨牵动市场情绪

美元周一(12日)维持在18个月高点，受到避险需求支撑。随着中东地区在周末的攻击行动升级，投资人保持谨慎，并等待本周稍晚公布的美国重要通膨数据。

〈纽约汇市〉美元守住18个月高点中东局势紧张、美国通膨牵动市场情绪

纽约尾盘，追踪美元兑六种主要货币的美元指数(DXY)上涨0.37%，报102.58，为2025年4月以来最高。

由于受到伊朗支持的叶门「青年运动」(Houthis)加大对沙乌地阿拉伯的攻击，加上周末有两艘油轮遭到攻击，油价走势震荡。

布兰特原油期货上涨2.3%，报每桶107.17 美元，接近两周高点。

这些攻击事件盖过了美国总统川普周日宣布的俄罗斯与乌克兰能源停火协议。该协议从一开始似乎就面临威胁，因基辅指控莫斯科在当晚违反协议。

布兰特原油价格目前仍比美国与以色列对伊朗开战前高出近45%。

另一方面，克里夫兰联准(Fed)银行总裁哈玛克(Beth Hammack)周一表示，联准会应该「相对迅速地」转向限制性货币政策，以控制她认为已经扩散至更广泛领域的通膨。

投资人持续增加美元的看涨部位。截至10月7日当周，美元看涨部位约达360亿美元，较三周前的84亿美元大幅增加。

LMAX Group市场策略师Joel Kruger表示，「我们不确信，这波最新的避险情绪会转化为持续性的美元走强。」他指出，经济数据正在降温、通膨压力有所缓和，而且市场已经反映联准会预期升息的大部分影响。「我们认为美元进一步上涨的空间有限。」

市场焦点转向美国通膨数据

周三公布的美国消费者通膨报告，是联准会本月政策会议前最后几项重要经济数据之一，可能成为决定美元短期走势的关键。

10月初，美国消费者信心进一步恶化。由于中东冲突推高生活成本，家庭对经济的看法更加悲观。

联准会上个月升息，是自2023年以来首次升息，目的是抑制通膨。

芝商所(CME)FedWatch工具显示，交易员目前预估联准会本月维持利率不变的机率为78%，高于一个月前的51%。

Bannockburn Global Forex首席市场策略师 Marc Chandler表示，「本周真正焦点是消费者物价指数(CPI)数据，而通膨数字很可能仍会偏高。」他补充，联准会在选举前升息的情况非常罕见，因此联准会采取行动的门槛相当高。

投资人也越来越担心债券市场的大幅抛售。这波卖压已经推升全球各地的借贷成本，使其升至数十年来高点。

欧元兑美元下跌0.4%，至1.1156 美元，接近17个月低点。上周欧元已连续第五周下跌，主要原因是投资人担忧法国的财政状况，尤其是在2027年总统大选之前。

法国10年期公债殖利率与德国公债殖利率之间的利差为140个基点。上周该利差一度接近160个基点，创2012年以来最大。

花旗集团G10外汇策略主管Dan Tobon表示，「情况没有改善，也没有明确的指引告诉我们，短期内要如何才能让局势好转。现在有什么理由要买进欧洲债券、买进欧元？很难找到理由，因此我们只能看着它持续走弱。」

美元兑日元上涨0.2%，至158.66日元。

英镑兑美元下跌0.2%，至1.3203美元。

截至台湾时间周二 (13 日) 约 6:20 价格:

美元指数报 102.5584。-0.0253%
欧元兑美元 (EUR/USD)汇率报1欧元兑1.1157美元。+0.0179%
英镑兑美元 (GBP/USD)汇率报1英镑兑1.3209美元。+0.0151%
澳币兑美元 (AUD/USD)汇率报1澳币兑0.6958美元。0.0000%
美元兑加币 (USD/CAD)汇率报1美元兑1.4280加币。-0.0140%
美元兑日元 (USD/JPY)汇率报1美元兑158.5700日元。-0.0441%

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布兰特原油涨2.3%至107.17美元；欧元跌至1.1156美元、近17个月低，市场忧法国财政与债市抛售", "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6628056/l/41c265b40a4dea88fe93a6b62b185566.jpg", "content": "美元周一(12日)维持在18个月高点，受到避险需求支撑。随着中东地区在周末的攻击行动升级，投资人保持谨慎，并等待本周稍晚公布的美国重要通膨数据。\n<img src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6628056/l/41c265b40a4dea88fe93a6b62b185566.jpg\" alt=\"〈纽约汇市〉美元守住18个月高点中东局势紧张、美国通膨牵动市场情绪\" style=\"width:50%;height:auto;border-radius:6px;margin:15px auto;display:block;\">\n\n\n纽约尾盘，追踪美元兑六种主要货币的美元指数(DXY)上涨0.37%，报102.58，为2025年4月以来最高。\n\n由于受到伊朗支持的叶门「青年运动」(Houthis)加大对沙乌地阿拉伯的攻击，加上周末有两艘油轮遭到攻击，油价走势震荡。\n\n布兰特原油期货上涨2.3%，报每桶107.17 美元，接近两周高点。\n\n这些攻击事件盖过了美国总统川普周日宣布的俄罗斯与乌克兰能源停火协议。该协议从一开始似乎就面临威胁，因基辅指控莫斯科在当晚违反协议。\n\n布兰特原油价格目前仍比美国与以色列对伊朗开战前高出近45%。\n\n另一方面，克里夫兰联准(Fed)银行总裁哈玛克(Beth Hammack)周一表示，联准会应该「相对迅速地」转向限制性货币政策，以控制她认为已经扩散至更广泛领域的通膨。\n\n投资人持续增加美元的看涨部位。截至10月7日当周，美元看涨部位约达360亿美元，较三周前的84亿美元大幅增加。\n\nLMAX Group市场策略师Joel Kruger表示，「我们不确信，这波最新的避险情绪会转化为持续性的美元走强。」他指出，经济数据正在降温、通膨压力有所缓和，而且市场已经反映联准会预期升息的大部分影响。「我们认为美元进一步上涨的空间有限。」\n\n市场焦点转向美国通膨数据\n\n周三公布的美国消费者通膨报告，是联准会本月政策会议前最后几项重要经济数据之一，可能成为决定美元短期走势的关键。\n\n10月初，美国消费者信心进一步恶化。由于中东冲突推高生活成本，家庭对经济的看法更加悲观。\n\n联准会上个月升息，是自2023年以来首次升息，目的是抑制通膨。\n\n芝商所(CME)FedWatch工具显示，交易员目前预估联准会本月维持利率不变的机率为78%，高于一个月前的51%。\n\nBannockburn Global Forex首席市场策略师 Marc Chandler表示，「本周真正焦点是消费者物价指数(CPI)数据，而通膨数字很可能仍会偏高。」他补充，联准会在选举前升息的情况非常罕见，因此联准会采取行动的门槛相当高。\n\n投资人也越来越担心债券市场的大幅抛售。这波卖压已经推升全球各地的借贷成本，使其升至数十年来高点。\n\n欧元兑美元下跌0.4%，至1.1156 美元，接近17个月低点。上周欧元已连续第五周下跌，主要原因是投资人担忧法国的财政状况，尤其是在2027年总统大选之前。\n\n法国10年期公债殖利率与德国公债殖利率之间的利差为140个基点。上周该利差一度接近160个基点，创2012年以来最大。\n\n花旗集团G10外汇策略主管Dan Tobon表示，「情况没有改善，也没有明确的指引告诉我们，短期内要如何才能让局势好转。现在有什么理由要买进欧洲债券、买进欧元？很难找到理由，因此我们只能看着它持续走弱。」\n\n美元兑日元上涨0.2%，至158.66日元。\n\n英镑兑美元下跌0.2%，至1.3203美元。\n\n截至台湾时间周二 (13 日) 约 6:20 价格:\n\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"https://invest.cnyes.com/index/GI/DXY\">美元指数</a>报 102.5584。-0.0253%</li>\n<li><a href=\"https://invest.cnyes.com/forex/detail/eurusd\">欧元</a>兑美元 (EUR/USD)汇率报1<a href=\"https://invest.cnyes.com/forex/detail/eurusd\">欧元</a>兑1.1157美元。+0.0179%</li>\n<li><a href=\"https://invest.cnyes.com/forex/detail/gbpusd\">英镑</a>兑美元 (GBP/USD)汇率报1<a href=\"https://invest.cnyes.com/forex/detail/gbpusd\">英镑</a>兑1.3209美元。+0.0151%</li>\n<li><a href=\"https://invest.cnyes.com/forex/detail/audusd\">澳币</a>兑美元 (AUD/USD)汇率报1<a href=\"https://invest.cnyes.com/forex/detail/audusd\">澳币</a>兑0.6958美元。0.0000%</li>\n<li>美元兑<a href=\"https://invest.cnyes.com/forex/detail/cadusd\">加币</a> (USD/CAD)汇率报1美元兑1.4280<a href=\"https://invest.cnyes.com/forex/detail/cadusd\">加币</a>。-0.0140%</li>\n<li>美元兑<a href=\"https://invest.cnyes.com/forex/detail/jpyusd\">日元</a> (USD/JPY)汇率报1美元兑158.5700<a href=\"https://invest.cnyes.com/forex/detail/jpyusd\">日元</a>。-0.0441%</li>\n</ul><div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n <ul>\n <li><a href=\"/hour/article-19921.html\" title=\"〈贵金属盘后〉美元升值、油价高涨金价从一周高点下挫\">〈贵金属盘后〉美元升值、油价高涨金价从一周高点下挫</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/hour/article-19894.html\" title=\"餐饮巨型并购梦降温！星巴克直言不买 Chipotle股价跌逾4%\">餐饮巨型并购梦降温！星巴克直言不买 Chipotle股价跌逾4%</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/hour/article-19899.html\" title=\"拚科技强国也堆出债务山！中国非金融部门负债突破GDP三倍\">拚科技强国也堆出债务山！中国非金融部门负债突破GDP三倍</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/hour/article-19871.html\" title=\"营收速报 - 大联大(3702)9月营收2,195.95亿元年增率高达146.49％\">营收速报 - 大联大(3702)9月营收2,195.95亿元年增率高达146.49％</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/hour/article-19911.html\" title=\"美光摔3.9%记忆体股倒一片中国对手进逼核心市场\">美光摔3.9%记忆体股倒一片中国对手进逼核心市场</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/hour/article-19887.html\" title=\"能源大臣：沙乌地展现供应韧性但能源安全绝不能视为理所当然\">能源大臣：沙乌地展现供应韧性但能源安全绝不能视为理所当然</a></li>\n </ul>\n</div>", "status": 0, "pv": 1, "link": "https://news.cnyes.com/news/id/6628056", "createdAt": "2026-10-12T22:23:18.000Z", "updatedAt": "2026-10-12T22:40:25.000Z" }, "position": [ { "id": 30, "pid": 0, "name": "实时", "pinyin": "hour", "path": "/hour", "orderBy": 0, "target": "0", "status": "0", "listView": "list.html", "articleView": "article.html", "seoTitle": "", "seoKeywords": "", "seoDescription": "", "type": "0", "dataConfig": null, "level": 1 } ], "_locals": {}, "cache": false }

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