天天财经-提供金融入门知识-投资理财技巧-〈能源盘后〉伊朗与巴基斯坦讨论斡旋但美伊冲突阴影未散油价自5个月高点拉回仍守百美元

国际油价周二 (20日) 从5个月高点回落，市场评估伊朗与美国的外交斡旋能否取得进展，同时关注叶门叛军胡塞组织持续攻击沙乌地阿拉伯能源设施，以及波斯湾船只遇袭事件带来的供应风险。尽管油价收低，但中东局势仍高度紧张，国际油价持续站在每桶100美元以上。

〈能源盘后〉伊朗与巴基斯坦讨论斡旋但美伊冲突阴影未散油价自5个月高点拉回仍守百美元

布兰特原油 (Brent) 期货周二收跌0.76美元，跌幅0.69%，报每桶108.79美元，盘中一度升至111.99美元，创5个月新高。美国西德州中级原油 (WTI) 11月期货合约于周二到期，终场下跌1.87美元，跌幅1.8%，报每桶101.79美元，低于盘中最高110.48美元；该近月合约盘中价格曾升至4月以来最高水准。交易更活跃的12月WTI期货则下跌0.72美元，收在每桶97.82美元。

伊朗官方媒体《Nournews》报导，伊朗总统裴泽斯基安 (Masoud Pezeshkian) 周二在德黑兰会晤巴基斯坦陆军参谋长穆尼尔 (Asim Munir)，双方讨论斡旋工作及区域局势。巴基斯坦先前曾协助美国与伊朗在6月达成临时和平协议，但协议在数周后随着双方再度爆发战事而迅速失效。此次会谈重新引发市场对外交协商能否降低冲突风险的关注，不过目前仍未有足以确认局势将实质缓和的进展。

与此同时，中东能源供应及海上运输安全仍面临威胁。与伊朗立场接近的叶门胡塞组织周一声称，对沙乌地阿拉伯多处能源、机场及军事目标发动攻击，目标包括沙乌地阿美 (Saudi Aramco) (2222.SE) 位于延布的设施、沙伊巴油田、利雅德的哈立德国王国际机场，以及艾卜哈机场。沙乌地阿拉伯当局当时尚未立即证实相关说法，《路透社》也无法独立核实胡塞组织的攻击声明。

航运追踪机构Kpler指出，过去两周至少有18艘船舶据报遭到攻击，海上运输风险持续推升能源市场的地缘政治风险溢价。胡塞组织相关攻击也加剧市场对区域稳定及石油供应中断的忧虑。周一，叶门胡塞组织对位于舍卜沃省、供政府安全部队使用的训练营发动攻击，造成58人死亡、逾200人受伤，进一步凸显区域安全局势的脆弱性。

荷兰国际集团 (ING) 分析师在报告中指出，油价仍获得良好支撑，反映市场正因局势高度不稳定而计入相当程度的风险溢价。换言之，即使市场因外交斡旋消息而短暂降低对冲突升级的担忧，只要能源设施及海上航线仍受到威胁，油价便难以完全消除地缘政治风险带来的支撑。

政治层面方面，以色列总理纳坦雅胡 (Benjamin Netanyahu) 表示，他仍致力于完成推翻伊朗政权的目标，并于周日就相关议题与美国总统川普通话。相关表态显示，美国、以色列与伊朗之间的紧张关系仍未消退，也让市场持续评估战事对中东原油生产、出口及运输的潜在冲击。

在供应面上，美国暂停对俄罗斯能源相关制裁，并促成俄罗斯柴油出口禁令解除后，俄罗斯柴油货运正逐步恢复流向传统市场。根据Kpler及伦敦证券交易所集团 (LSEG) 的航运资料，近期至少有两艘油轮显示将前往土耳其及巴西，反映俄罗斯柴油供应正在重新进入部分国际市场。相关供应变化可能有助于缓解部分成品油市场的紧张情势，但中东冲突仍为整体能源市场增添不确定性。

美国政府也正设法提高国内炼油量，以增加原油加工及成品油供应。美国能源部次长豪斯特维特 (Kyle Haustveit) 周二在宾夕法尼亚州蒂特斯维尔举行的德雷克论坛上表示，政府正与国内炼油业者合作，尽可能提高现有炼油系统的原油处理量。美国能源部长莱特 (Chris Wright) 随后在休士顿发表类似看法，并表示政府也正推动已停工的国内炼油厂重新恢复营运。

库存方面，《路透社》周二公布的扩大调查显示，市场预期美国上周原油及成品油库存均可能下降。受访的8名分析师平均预估，截至10月16日当周，美国原油库存减少约80万桶。若库存降幅获得官方数据确认，将反映美国原油供需仍存在一定紧张程度。

整体而言，伊朗与巴基斯坦高层接触为市场带来外交斡旋的希望，使油价在触及5个月高点后回落，但胡塞组织持续攻击、船舶遇袭风险及美伊冲突的不确定性，仍支撑原油价格。后续油市走势将取决于外交协商是否取得实质进展、中东能源运输能否恢复稳定，以及俄罗斯柴油供应与美国炼油产能调整能否有效缓解供应压力。

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胡塞续袭沙乌地能源设施与船舶，Kpler称两周至少18艘船遇袭，地缘风险溢价仍支撑油价。", "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6634517/l/8f8e3b8d066228b9cace3be3e2df6c6e.jpg", "content": "国际油价周二 (20日) 从5个月高点回落，市场评估伊朗与美国的外交斡旋能否取得进展，同时关注叶门叛军胡塞组织持续攻击沙乌地阿拉伯能源设施，以及波斯湾船只遇袭事件带来的供应风险。尽管油价收低，但中东局势仍高度紧张，国际油价持续站在每桶100美元以上。\n<img src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6634517/l/8f8e3b8d066228b9cace3be3e2df6c6e.jpg\" alt=\"〈能源盘后〉伊朗与巴基斯坦讨论斡旋但美伊冲突阴影未散油价自5个月高点拉回仍守百美元\" style=\"width:50%;height:auto;border-radius:6px;margin:15px auto;display:block;\">\n\n\n布兰特原油 (Brent) 期货周二收跌0.76美元，跌幅0.69%，报每桶108.79美元，盘中一度升至111.99美元，创5个月新高。美国西德州中级原油 (WTI) 11月期货合约于周二到期，终场下跌1.87美元，跌幅1.8%，报每桶101.79美元，低于盘中最高110.48美元；该近月合约盘中价格曾升至4月以来最高水准。交易更活跃的12月WTI期货则下跌0.72美元，收在每桶97.82美元。\n\n伊朗官方媒体《Nournews》报导，伊朗总统裴泽斯基安 (Masoud Pezeshkian) 周二在德黑兰会晤巴基斯坦陆军参谋长穆尼尔 (Asim Munir)，双方讨论斡旋工作及区域局势。巴基斯坦先前曾协助美国与伊朗在6月达成临时和平协议，但协议在数周后随着双方再度爆发战事而迅速失效。此次会谈重新引发市场对外交协商能否降低冲突风险的关注，不过目前仍未有足以确认局势将实质缓和的进展。\n\n与此同时，中东能源供应及海上运输安全仍面临威胁。与伊朗立场接近的叶门胡塞组织周一声称，对沙乌地阿拉伯多处能源、机场及军事目标发动攻击，目标包括沙乌地阿美 (Saudi Aramco) (2222.SE) 位于延布的设施、沙伊巴油田、利雅德的哈立德国王国际机场，以及艾卜哈机场。沙乌地阿拉伯当局当时尚未立即证实相关说法，《路透社》也无法独立核实胡塞组织的攻击声明。\n\n航运追踪机构Kpler指出，过去两周至少有18艘船舶据报遭到攻击，海上运输风险持续推升能源市场的地缘政治风险溢价。胡塞组织相关攻击也加剧市场对区域稳定及石油供应中断的忧虑。周一，叶门胡塞组织对位于舍卜沃省、供政府安全部队使用的训练营发动攻击，造成58人死亡、逾200人受伤，进一步凸显区域安全局势的脆弱性。\n\n荷兰国际集团 (ING) 分析师在报告中指出，油价仍获得良好支撑，反映市场正因局势高度不稳定而计入相当程度的风险溢价。换言之，即使市场因外交斡旋消息而短暂降低对冲突升级的担忧，只要能源设施及海上航线仍受到威胁，油价便难以完全消除地缘政治风险带来的支撑。\n\n政治层面方面，以色列总理纳坦雅胡 (Benjamin Netanyahu) 表示，他仍致力于完成推翻伊朗政权的目标，并于周日就相关议题与美国总统川普通话。相关表态显示，美国、以色列与伊朗之间的紧张关系仍未消退，也让市场持续评估战事对中东原油生产、出口及运输的潜在冲击。\n\n在供应面上，美国暂停对俄罗斯能源相关制裁，并促成俄罗斯柴油出口禁令解除后，俄罗斯柴油货运正逐步恢复流向传统市场。根据Kpler及伦敦证券交易所集团 (LSEG) 的航运资料，近期至少有两艘油轮显示将前往土耳其及巴西，反映俄罗斯柴油供应正在重新进入部分国际市场。相关供应变化可能有助于缓解部分成品油市场的紧张情势，但中东冲突仍为整体能源市场增添不确定性。\n\n美国政府也正设法提高国内炼油量，以增加原油加工及成品油供应。美国能源部次长豪斯特维特 (Kyle Haustveit) 周二在宾夕法尼亚州蒂特斯维尔举行的德雷克论坛上表示，政府正与国内炼油业者合作，尽可能提高现有炼油系统的原油处理量。美国能源部长莱特 (Chris Wright) 随后在休士顿发表类似看法，并表示政府也正推动已停工的国内炼油厂重新恢复营运。\n\n库存方面，《路透社》周二公布的扩大调查显示，市场预期美国上周原油及成品油库存均可能下降。受访的8名分析师平均预估，截至10月16日当周，美国原油库存减少约80万桶。若库存降幅获得官方数据确认，将反映美国原油供需仍存在一定紧张程度。\n\n整体而言，伊朗与巴基斯坦高层接触为市场带来外交斡旋的希望，使油价在触及5个月高点后回落，但胡塞组织持续攻击、船舶遇袭风险及美伊冲突的不确定性，仍支撑原油价格。后续油市走势将取决于外交协商是否取得实质进展、中东能源运输能否恢复稳定，以及俄罗斯柴油供应与美国炼油产能调整能否有效缓解供应压力。\n<div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n <ul>\n <li><a href=\"/hour/article-21179.html\" title=\"〈财报〉Netflix Q3优预期盘后仍跌6% 广告与营收展望拖累\">〈财报〉Netflix Q3优预期盘后仍跌6% 广告与营收展望拖累</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/hour/article-21168.html\" title=\"法国债市风暴会蔓延？贝森特不担心称资金正转向美债避险\">法国债市风暴会蔓延？贝森特不担心称资金正转向美债避险</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/hour/article-21143.html\" title=\"APEC财长会议于香港揭幕逾500位代表云集讨论区域合作\">APEC财长会议于香港揭幕逾500位代表云集讨论区域合作</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/hour/article-21178.html\" title=\"延宕多年终获准！波音737 Max 10通过FAA认证未来数月启动交付\">延宕多年终获准！波音737 Max 10通过FAA认证未来数月启动交付</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/hour/article-21144.html\" title=\"CoreWeave信贷风暴为何华尔街将其比作「矽谷银行」？\">CoreWeave信贷风暴为何华尔街将其比作「矽谷银行」？</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/hour/article-21153.html\" title=\"〈美股早盘〉反弹又卡关！AI疑虑重燃、油价回升再添压主要指数开低\">〈美股早盘〉反弹又卡关！AI疑虑重燃、油价回升再添压主要指数开低</a></li>\n </ul>\n</div>", "status": 0, "pv": 1, "link": "https://news.cnyes.com/news/id/6634517", "createdAt": "2026-10-20T21:40:02.000Z", "updatedAt": "2026-10-20T22:27:39.000Z" }, "position": [ { "id": 30, "pid": 0, "name": "实时", "pinyin": "hour", "path": "/hour", "orderBy": 0, "target": "0", "status": "0", "listView": "list.html", "articleView": "article.html", "seoTitle": "", "seoKeywords": "", "seoDescription": "", "type": "0", "dataConfig": null, "level": 1 } ], "_locals": {}, "cache": false }

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