天天财经-提供金融入门知识-投资理财技巧-上调目标价至130元！高盛喊上车：长鑫科技对应市值将达8.8兆人民币

上调目标价至130元！高盛喊上车：长鑫科技对应市值将达8.8兆人民币

2026-10-22 08:36:43 网络阅读（1）
高盛最新研报指出，中国DRAM大厂长鑫科技今年第三季营收指引达1150亿至1200亿元人民币，季增15%至20%，中位数较高盛原本预测高出30%，净利指引530亿至550亿元，较上一季小幅增长，中位数高于原先预测17%。
上调目标价至130元！高盛喊上车：长鑫科技对应市值将达8.8兆人民币
高盛将超出预期归因于三项驱动：AI需求带动伺服器DRAM与HBM拉货、下游客户为避开单一供应链而导入长鑫产能、DRAM价格维持高位。高盛预期，长鑫今年第四季营收将延续季增趋势，并视长鑫为中国本地DRAM需求上升的主要受惠者。
长鑫上月在世界制造业大会宣布第五代DRAM平台(G5)量产，制程微缩与单片裸片产出效率提升，进一步强化成本与供给能力。
在计入第三季指引后，高盛上调长鑫2026至2030年获利预期分别4%、1%、1%、1%及0.2%，理由是中国DRAM需求强劲与客户分散供应带动收入上修，未来12个月目标价也由129元微升至130元人民币，维持「买进」评等。按长鑫科技约678.84亿股总股本、目标价130元推算，对应总市值约8.825兆元人民币。
市场解读认为，高盛此举并非单看一季财测，而是重申「AI＋国产替代＋产能扩张」的中期看法，但HBM放量节奏、价格周期反转与估值消化，仍是要续追的变数。
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