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全球AI热潮退烧与振兴乏力 中国股市正逐步走入熊市

2026-10-22 14:37:46 网络 阅读(1)

受全球人工智慧(AI)概念股回档潮以及关键财报季前缺乏有效振兴政策驱动的影响,中国股市正逐步走入熊市。

全球AI热潮退烧与振兴乏力 中国股市正逐步走入熊市

沪深300指数周四盘中一度重挫1.9%,自6月高点以来累计跌幅已达20%,其中光通讯业者中际旭创(300308-CN)与新易盛(300502-CN)成为主要领跌个股;同时,港股主要中资企业指数盘中最大跌幅也达到3.2%。

陆股自6月下旬以来持续低迷,起初受全球AI概念股卖压冲击,随后又因消费长期疲软的新证据而进一步走弱,而决策当局仅维持针对性与渐进式的刺激措施,令期待大规格振兴方案的交易员感到失望。其中,以科技硬体为主的科创50指数在近半年间大跌约40%,创业板指数也有相近跌幅。

此外,电池龙头宁德时代(300750-CN)因政策补贴退场导致季度获利成长不如预期,股价在周三重挫12%后持续扩大跌幅,引发投资人对后续财报表现的担忧。

美国科技巨头最新财报表现好坏参半,加上借贷成本上升使投资人对高估值更加挑剔,进而对AI涨势的持久性产生疑虑。在中国,早期对技术突破与国家政策支持的乐观情绪曾将估值推升至高点,如今市场情绪逆转,使类股显得更为脆弱。

这波回落也逆转了2024年底北京推出振兴措施后的上涨趋势,目前恒生中国企业指数与沪深300指数今年以来的跌幅均已超过10%,成为全球表现最差的主要股指之一。

针对市场前景,伦巴德奥迪尔(Lombard Odier)驻新加坡高级宏观策略师 Homin Lee 表示:「中国境内与境外市场的投资人情绪极为低迷,若缺乏新的政策或科技催化剂,这种剧烈波动且缺乏方向的环境可能会持续至2027年初。」

虽然官方已采取措施抑制抛售压力并稳定股市,但分析师指出,单靠国家队的护盘资金恐难以实现持续复苏。

彭博行业研究(BI)分析师 Rebecca Sin 等人在报告中指出:「在缺乏全球股市反弹可供依赖的情况下,国家队可能需要比前两次救援(2025年4月关税冲击与2026年7月科技股卖压)买入更多股票,且护盘时间也需拉得更长。」

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      "shortTitle": "美国国务卿:乌克兰「星链」限速是马斯克所为",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6635506/l/7bd01e44777fcff79bd9cd0503140ff0.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-10-22T00:33:49.000Z",
      "description": "美国国务卿鲁比欧21日(周三)表示,乌克兰使用「星链」卫星通讯系统遭限速的决定,由SpaceX(SPCX-US) 执行长马斯克作出,并非白宫。 鲁比欧当天在印度孟买接受采访时说,美国总统川普与乌克兰使用「星链」遭限速无关,相关决定由马斯克作出。白宫事先并不知情,「川普或政府层面任何人从未要求对该系统做出任何更改」。 鲁比欧17日曾表示,乌克兰从未获得「星链」卫星通讯系统的军事化版本「星盾」系统使用权。他同时否认美方曾下令对乌克兰使用「星链」系统限速。 马斯克此前表示,乌克兰使用的「星盾」系统由美",
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    {
      "id": 21401,
      "title": "二手溢价回落 供应激增 爱马仕柏金包稀缺性神话松动",
      "shortTitle": "二手溢价回落 供应激增 爱马仕柏金包稀缺性神话松动",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6635500/l/43176e7485203897de89faee4a433f6b.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-10-22T01:32:43.000Z",
      "description": "Birkin二手溢价大幅收窄,今年Q3 Birkin 25转售价约为零售价1.7倍。
未使用黑色Birkin 25二手价自2022年来跌约4,000英镑至2.4万英镑。
Vestiaire Collective、The RealReal等平台兴起,二手供给暴增。",
      "pv": 3,
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      "path": "/hour"
    },
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      "id": 21402,
      "title": "法国巴黎本周第三次夜间宵禁",
      "shortTitle": "法国巴黎本周第三次夜间宵禁",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6635505/l/476d9129250b797d2a41bb1263ef6534.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-10-22T00:44:11.000Z",
      "description": "法国巴黎警察总局在21日(周三)宣布,21日23时至22日6时,将对共和国广场和大堂商业区一带实施宵禁,禁止人员在相关区域停留。 这是巴黎本周第三次夜间宵禁,该措施按照法国总理勒科尔尼和内政部长努内兹的要求实施。 此外,法国抗争者预定24日举行下一轮示威活动,努内兹20日说,为更好应对示威活动可能引发的暴力事件,法国政府将部署法军反恐力量「哨兵」行动的士兵,增援警察和宪兵。 努内兹当日在回答法国国民议会质询时作出上述表态。他表示,「哨兵」行动的士兵将主要作为固定看守力量,为警察和宪兵分担压力,增",
      "pv": 3,
      "pinyin": "hour",
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      "path": "/hour"
    },
    {
      "id": 21416,
      "title": "2002年以来首次!法国10年期公债殖利率升破5%关卡",
      "shortTitle": "2002年以来首次!法国10年期公债殖利率升破5%关卡",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6635581/l/5af0dc0e0437cce3cb857dd468f9eb48.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-10-22T02:10:25.000Z",
      "description": "法国10年期公债殖利率周三首度突破5%,为2002年7月以来首次。
法德10年期公债殖利率息差扩至159.4个基点,为15年最大。
能源价格上涨和街头抗议活动加剧了人们对法国财政前景的担忧。",
      "pv": 1,
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      "name": "实时",
      "path": "/hour"
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      "id": 21430,
      "title": "胡塞扩大攻击 美国下令「非紧急」政府雇员及家属撤离沙国",
      "shortTitle": "胡塞扩大攻击 美国下令「非紧急」政府雇员及家属撤离沙国",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6635591/l/d8fcc2fc65143ae34ed380a007b69e1e.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-10-22T03:27:51.000Z",
      "description": "近期叶门叛军胡塞和沙乌地阿拉伯持续互袭,中东局势进一步升级。据《路透社》21日(周三)报导,多名美国官员透露,美国国务院已经下令部分外交官及家属撤离沙国,并计划撤离中东其他一些国家的外交官家属。 不过,美国国务院发言人汤米·皮戈特随后在社交平台X上发文,称相关说法「不准确」。他表示,国务院仅向驻沙国「非紧急」政府雇员及家属发布撤离命令,「国务院官员及家属的安全是我们最优先考虑的事项,我们将继续采取一切措施保护和支持他们」。 皮戈特没提到美国驻其他波斯湾国家的官员是否会撤离。 美国驻",
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      "id": 21431,
      "title": "川普特使:美国无法永远保证波斯湾盟友安全",
      "shortTitle": "川普特使:美国无法永远保证波斯湾盟友安全",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6635355/l/5799210df3caa2951446739e7a4f0111.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-10-22T03:09:13.000Z",
      "description": "巴拉克说,美国并非放弃承担责任,而是传递一个重新调整战略定位的信号。
安全换石油的安排已不符合华府的需求。
中东转向规模较小、构成更加多元的联盟,是正确选择。",
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      "path": "/hour"
    },
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      "id": 21432,
      "title": "美以拟期中选后再袭伊朗 「3天密集猛打」锁定能源、核设施",
      "shortTitle": "美以拟期中选后再袭伊朗 「3天密集猛打」锁定能源、核设施",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6635614/l/bd2d2482aeada1101f326b397a222916.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-10-22T02:46:39.000Z",
      "description": "美以军方已拟定在美国期中选举后再攻击伊朗,并加强演习、派军机飞越伊拉克空域
潜在目标含伊朗能源、核设施与飞弹/无人机库;美方盼以3天高强度打击逼伊朗在核计划与荷姆兹海峡让步
川普是否批准仍是变数;伊朗扬言扩大报复,恐波及商船、资料中心与海底电缆,推升能源与通膨风险",
      "pv": 1,
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    {
      "id": 21433,
      "title": "德法西英国企业考虑联手竞拍频谱资源 降低卫星通讯对美依赖",
      "shortTitle": "德法西英国企业考虑联手竞拍频谱资源 降低卫星通讯对美依赖",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6635585/l/30edcddb786f70bc8db13b5943626c66.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-10-22T02:36:45.000Z",
      "description": "德国电信、Orange、西班牙电信、沃达丰签署意向书,研议联合竞拍欧盟卫星通讯频谱。
4家公司称将共享基地台与客户群,让卫星通讯整合进现有行动网路。
此举剑指SpaceX主导的卫星通讯市场,盼降低欧洲对美国基础设施的依赖。",
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    },
    {
      "id": 21442,
      "title": "AI晶片泡沫论中的财报变数 记忆体供需成关键",
      "shortTitle": "AI晶片泡沫论中的财报变数 记忆体供需成关键",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6635521/l/a569d15ebf865553bbd3b927db8ed6cc.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-10-22T04:30:04.000Z",
      "description": "费半指数6交易日跌约10%,SMH自10月5日高点回落14%,通膨高于预期加剧跌势。
记忆体股跌最重:SK海力士5日跌26%、三星22%、美光11%;市场担忧供给过剩。
作者指晶片股仍有获利支撑,SMH与SOXX估值已降,接下来财报将决定是否只是重新定价。",
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      "path": "/hour"
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    {
      "id": 21443,
      "title": "两份声明、两份报告、三个共识 为亚太财金合作指明方向",
      "shortTitle": "两份声明、两份报告、三个共识 为亚太财金合作指明方向",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6635499/l/218b7176ba6b481655363c847c09008d.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-10-22T04:29:59.000Z",
      "description": "APEC财长会议10月20至21日在香港举行。
香港特区首次承办,为11月APEC领袖非正式会议累积财金成果。
会议发布《2026年APEC财长联合声明》及《亚太地区数位基础设施融资政策声明》。",
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    "title": "全球AI热潮退烧与振兴乏力 中国股市正逐步走入熊市",
    "shortTitle": "全球AI热潮退烧与振兴乏力 中国股市正逐步走入熊市",
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    "description": "沪深300周四一度跌1.9%,自6月高点累跌20%,中国股市逐步走入熊市。
AI概念股回档、消费疲弱与缺乏大规模刺激政策,拖累科创50近半年跌约40%、创业板近半年亦重挫。
宁德时代补贴退场致获利不如预期,股价续挫;分析师称若无新政策或科技催化,低迷恐延续至2027年初。",
    "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6635743/l/86f80dc56fe0dfa190087ab555950282.jpg",
    "content": "<p>受全球人工智慧(AI)概念股回档潮以及关键财报季前缺乏有效振兴政策驱动的影响,中国股市正逐步走入熊市。</p>\n<p style=\"text-align:center;\"><img src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6635743/l/86f80dc56fe0dfa190087ab555950282.jpg\" alt=\"全球AI热潮退烧与振兴乏力 中国股市正逐步走入熊市\" style=\"width:50%;height:auto;border-radius:6px;margin:15px auto;display:block;\"></p>\n\n\n<p>沪深300指数周四盘中一度重挫1.9%,自6月高点以来累计跌幅已达20%,其中光通讯业者中际旭创(300308-CN)与新易盛(300502-CN)成为主要领跌个股;同时,港股主要中资企业指数盘中最大跌幅也达到3.2%。</p>\n\n<p>陆股自6月下旬以来持续低迷,起初受全球AI概念股卖压冲击,随后又因消费长期疲软的新证据而进一步走弱,而决策当局仅维持针对性与渐进式的刺激措施,令期待大规格振兴方案的交易员感到失望。其中,以科技硬体为主的科创50指数在近半年间大跌约40%,创业板指数也有相近跌幅。</p>\n\n<p>此外,电池龙头宁德时代(300750-CN)因政策补贴退场导致季度获利成长不如预期,股价在周三重挫12%后持续扩大跌幅,引发投资人对后续财报表现的担忧。</p>\n\n<p>美国科技巨头最新财报表现好坏参半,加上借贷成本上升使投资人对高估值更加挑剔,进而对AI涨势的持久性产生疑虑。在中国,早期对技术突破与国家政策支持的乐观情绪曾将估值推升至高点,如今市场情绪逆转,使类股显得更为脆弱。</p>\n\n<p>这波回落也逆转了2024年底北京推出振兴措施后的上涨趋势,目前恒生中国企业指数与沪深300指数今年以来的跌幅均已超过10%,成为全球表现最差的主要股指之一。</p>\n\n<p>针对市场前景,伦巴德奥迪尔(Lombard Odier)驻新加坡高级宏观策略师 Homin Lee 表示:「中国境内与境外市场的投资人情绪极为低迷,若缺乏新的政策或科技催化剂,这种剧烈波动且缺乏方向的环境可能会持续至2027年初。」</p>\n\n<p>虽然官方已采取措施抑制抛售压力并稳定股市,但分析师指出,单靠国家队的护盘资金恐难以实现持续复苏。</p>\n\n<p>彭博行业研究(BI)分析师 Rebecca Sin 等人在报告中指出:「在缺乏全球股市反弹可供依赖的情况下,国家队可能需要比前两次救援(2025年4月关税冲击与2026年7月科技股卖压)买入更多股票,且护盘时间也需拉得更长。」</p>\n<div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n  <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n  <ul>\n    <li><a href=\"/hour/article-21453.html\" title=\"先进封装进度分歧 台积电CoPoS拚2028年量产、三星玻璃基板卡关\">先进封装进度分歧 台积电CoPoS拚2028年量产、三星玻璃基板卡关</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/hour/article-21432.html\" title=\"美以拟期中选后再袭伊朗 「3天密集猛打」锁定能源、核设施\">美以拟期中选后再袭伊朗 「3天密集猛打」锁定能源、核设施</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/hour/article-21470.html\" title=\"SpaceX宏大AI目标挑战现实极限 马斯克看好明年新增10GW算力\">SpaceX宏大AI目标挑战现实极限 马斯克看好明年新增10GW算力</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/hour/article-21430.html\" title=\"胡塞扩大攻击 美国下令「非紧急」政府雇员及家属撤离沙国\">胡塞扩大攻击 美国下令「非紧急」政府雇员及家属撤离沙国</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/hour/article-21431.html\" title=\"川普特使:美国无法永远保证波斯湾盟友安全\">川普特使:美国无法永远保证波斯湾盟友安全</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/hour/article-21443.html\" title=\"两份声明、两份报告、三个共识 为亚太财金合作指明方向\">两份声明、两份报告、三个共识 为亚太财金合作指明方向</a></li>\n  </ul>\n</div>",
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