【量大强涨股整理】大盘开低走高藏惊天杀机？两大事件指数定生死

【大立光】【玉晶光】【联亚】【全新】
大盘开低走高藏惊天杀机？两大事件指数定生死

影片中分享给你知道
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再来看一下今天的台股!

加权指数今日开低走高，终场下跌202.98点，收在46128.47，成交量12017.93亿，收下影线678.26点。

观察三大法人今天筹码动向，外资卖超143.92亿元，投信卖超49.10亿元，自营商卖超74.52亿元，三大法人合计卖超267.55亿元，其中，外资、投信、自营商皆由买转卖。

美国联准会主席华许在全球央行年会释出偏鹰讯号，市场对9月利率政策的预期快速转向，带动美债殖利率走高、科技股承压，美股四大指数同步收黑，道琼工业指数小跌0.02%，那斯达克指数下跌0.52%，费城半导体指数重挫3.47%，其中(AMD-US)超微，下跌2.33%，(NVDA-US)辉达，下跌4.57%，(MRVL-US)迈威尔，更重挫10.28%，显示市场短线风险偏好明显降温，华许表示，尽管近期PCE与CPI数据表现优于预期，但目前仍不足以证明潜在通膨已经明确改善，Fed仍须持续观察信用利差、企业获利、货币供给与民间需求等指标，确认通膨是否能以足够速度朝2%目标回落，在此背景下，市场对9月升息的预期迅速升温，机率由原本约35%跳升至60%，2年期美债殖利率也大涨约12个基点至4.35%，短线资金明显重新评估利率风险，接下来市场焦点将转向美国就业与通膨数据，尤其8月非农就业人数预估增加5.8万人、失业率维持4.1%，若就业市场仍具韧性，可能进一步提高Fed维持高利率甚至升息的压力；反之，若就业数据明显转弱，则有机会降低市场对紧缩政策的疑虑，此外(AVGO-US)博通，即将公布财报，将成为观察AI需求能否由辉达扩散至ASIC、网通与其他半导体供应链的重要指标。

台股方面，受到美股科技股重挫，盘势开低后卖压快速扩大，盘中一度重挫逾800点，指数失守46,000点并回测45,450点附近，不过急杀后低档承接逐渐浮现，部分资金重新回流电子权值与AI族群，加上MSCI季度调整权重，尾盘出现较大规模资金进出，使指数波动进一步放大，盘面上，塑化族群受到CCL材料涨价题材带动相对强势，终场下跌202.98点，收在46128.47，成交量12017.93亿，收下影线678.26点，显示多方仍有一定支撑，目前下档均线呈现多头排列格局，且越线有守之下，偏多看待，这周三即将迎接国际半导体展登场，先进制程、AI伺服器及半导体供应链仍有个股表现机会，另外苹果iphnoe18 pro，首款折叠机即将发表，相关供应链将有机会表现；本周市场将聚焦(AVGO-US)博通财报、8月非农就业、及8月营收公布，这些事件将成为判断台股下一波攻击方向的重要关键。

权值股方面，(2330-TW)台积电，下跌0.62%，收在2405元，矽光子技术加速进入AI资料中心，台积电表示，光收发器底层架构正迎来结构性转变，矽光子预估2027年市占率有望突破50%，共同封装光学CPO也将成为未来发展重点，最快今年下半年迎来量产，随AI算力需求持续攀升，2026年光收发器市场规模可望再成长50%，高阶高速产品需求强劲，台湾具备晶圆代工、雷射、光纤、连接器与测试等完整供应链优势，随CPO商业化加速，矽光子产业有望成为AI基础建设下一波重要成长动能；

(2317-TW)鸿海，下跌1.19%，收在250元，AI伺服器需求持续升温，鸿海成为主要受惠者，研调机构预估2026年全球九大云端巨头资本支出年增达90%，在NVIDIA供应链与AI机柜市占率约40%优势下，鸿海可望直接受惠，2Q26营收达2.51兆元，年增39.83%，7月营收更达9,465亿元，创单月新高，随ASIC伺服器加速崛起，鸿海已取得多家CSP订单，预期2027年新增ASIC AI伺服器机柜客户，云端业务成长动能可望持续扩大；

(2454-TW)联发科，下跌1.51%，收在3925元，受惠 Google TPU 与 AI ASIC 需求持续扩大，市场关注下一代 TPU 合作伙伴变化，研究认为，联发科在后续世代仍具重要角色，Google ASIC 长期趋势有利其资料中心业务，AI ASIC 强劲需求预期延续至2027年，下一代产品规模与单价均可望提升，资料中心 ASIC 营收上修至超过3,800亿元，营收占比达34.1%，EPS估171.6元，基本面成长动能仍强。

强势族群方面，AI浪潮持续推升光学产业需求，从手机镜头、精密光学到高速光通讯，产业成长主轴正逐步扩大！(3008-TW)大立光，掌握高阶光学镜头技术；(3406-TW)玉晶光，受惠手机旺季并积极切入CPO光学元件；而(2455-TW)全新，则搭上AI资料中心与矽光子高速光通讯需求，随磷化铟基板料况改善，出货动能明显回升，三档各自卡位不同AI光学应用，强势表态

佳萤早在2026.8.22股市期皇后领先预告
(3008-TW)大立光、(3406-TW)玉晶光⊕、(2455-TW)全新⊕

2026.7.30股市期皇后领先预告(3008-TW)大立光

(3008-TW)大立光，3715=>7735，领先预告后+108%，
光学镜头厂进入iPhone传统旺季，预期2H26营运逐季成长，3Q26营收估178.89亿元，季增30.92%，EPS 47.91元，受惠iPhone折叠机上市及可变光圈镜头升级，高阶产品单价提升，有望推升旺季营运表现，另一方面，公司积极布局CPO相关FAU零组件，产品精度优于业界平均，预计2026年取得客户认证，2027年上半年量产，若顺利放量，有望成为新成长引擎，提升市场评价。

2026.8.29股市期皇后领先预告(3406-TW)玉晶光

(3406-TW)玉晶光，652=>1005，领先预告后+54%，
玉晶光，7月营收达24.22亿元，月增39.28%、年增1.63%，创近半年新高，主要受惠传统旺季到来，光学镜头需求升温，前7月累计营收142.45亿元，年增14.2%，展望下半年，iPhone 18新机推出可望挹注手机镜头需求，同时玉晶光积极布局CPO光学元件，V沟、棱镜及插芯已完成送样，未来资本支出可望增加，此外，AR/VR、无人机与机器人等新专案持续推进，多元应用有助拓展中长期成长动能。

2026.8.22股市期皇后领先预告(2455-TW)全新

(2455-TW)全新，406=>477，领先预告后+17%，
全新受惠AI资料中心需求持续热络，加上磷化铟基板料况改善，2H26营运动能可望优于上半年，7月营收4.22亿元，月增29.48%，创历史新高，其中光电子产品营收1.69亿元，月增93.74%，显示缺料瓶颈明显缓解，中国政府5月及7月两度核准磷化铟基板出口，供应量增加，且首批料件已陆续到货并投入生产，随AI光通讯需求升温、供应链恢复正常，法人看好下半年出货与营收持续成长。

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8/31

强势股分享

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(1326-TW)台化

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(2455-TW)全新

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(2723-TW)美食-KY

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强势股分享

【上柜量大上涨股】
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(3141-TW)晶宏

(3339-TW)泰谷

(5386-TW)青云

(5426-TW)振发

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庄佳萤分析师:
每日分享盘势解析跟精选产业个股，让投资朋友轻松追踪2026年年台股操作方向，相关详细内容请加入Line@索取，免费提供给您!

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文章来源:摩尔投顾庄佳萤分析师

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"status": "0", "listView": "list.html", "articleView": "article.html", "seoTitle": "", "seoKeywords": "", "seoDescription": "", "type": "0", "dataConfig": null, "level": 1 }, "article": { "id": 13405, "cid": 27, "subCid": null, "title": "【量大强涨股整理】大盘开低走高藏惊天杀机？两大事件指数定生死", "shortTitle": "【量大强涨股整理】大盘开低走高藏惊天杀机？两大事件指数定生死", "tagId": "", "attr": "", "articleView": null, "source": null, "author": "网络", "description": "【大立光】【玉晶光】【联亚】【全新】大盘开低走高藏惊天杀机？两大事件指数定生死影片中分享给你知道 (按赞订阅打开小铃铛) 再来看一下今天的台股! 加权指数今日开低走高，终场下跌202.98点，收在46128.47，成交量12017.93亿，收下影线678.26点。观察三大法人今天筹码动向，外资卖超143.92亿元，投信卖超49.10亿元，自营商卖超74.52亿元，三大法人合计卖超267.55亿元，其中，外资、投信、自营商皆由买转卖。美国联准会主席华许在全球央行年会释出偏鹰讯号，市场", "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6592865/l/136c78f23dd3958ac34f5abc0c068d46.jpg", "content": "【大立光】【玉晶光】【联亚】【全新】 \n大盘开低走高藏惊天杀机？两大事件指数定生死\n<img src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6592865/l/136c78f23dd3958ac34f5abc0c068d46.jpg\" alt=\"【量大强涨股整理】大盘开低走高藏惊天杀机？两大事件指数定生死\" style=\"width:50%;height:auto;border-radius:6px;margin:15px auto;display:block;\">\n\n\n<div class=\"youtube-embed-wrapper\" style=\"position:relative;padding-bottom:56.25%;padding-top:30px;height:0;overflow:hidden;\"><iframe allowfullscreen=\"\" frameborder=\"0\" height=\"360\" src=\"//www.youtube.com/embed/cNs9wt_d_D8\" style=\"position: absolute;top: 0;left: 0;width: 100%;height: 100%;\" width=\"640\"></iframe></div>\n\n影片中分享给你知道 \n(按赞订阅打开小铃铛) \n再来看一下今天的台股!\n\n加权指数今日开低走高，终场下跌202.98点，收在46128.47，成交量12017.93亿，收下影线678.26点。\n\n观察三大法人今天筹码动向，外资卖超143.92亿元，投信卖超49.10亿元，自营商卖超74.52亿元，三大法人合计卖超267.55亿元，其中，外资、投信、自营商皆由买转卖。\n\n美国联准会主席华许在全球央行年会释出偏鹰讯号，市场对9月利率政策的预期快速转向，带动美债殖利率走高、科技股承压，美股四大指数同步收黑，道琼工业指数小跌0.02%，那斯达克指数下跌0.52%，费城半导体指数重挫3.47%，其中(AMD-US)超微，下跌2.33%，(NVDA-US)辉达，下跌4.57%，(MRVL-US)迈威尔，更重挫10.28%，显示市场短线风险偏好明显降温，华许表示，尽管近期PCE与CPI数据表现优于预期，但目前仍不足以证明潜在通膨已经明确改善，Fed仍须持续观察信用利差、企业获利、货币供给与民间需求等指标，确认通膨是否能以足够速度朝2%目标回落，在此背景下，市场对9月升息的预期迅速升温，机率由原本约35%跳升至60%，2年期美债殖利率也大涨约12个基点至4.35%，短线资金明显重新评估利率风险，接下来市场焦点将转向美国就业与通膨数据，尤其8月非农就业人数预估增加5.8万人、失业率维持4.1%，若就业市场仍具韧性，可能进一步提高Fed维持高利率甚至升息的压力；反之，若就业数据明显转弱，则有机会降低市场对紧缩政策的疑虑，此外(AVGO-US)博通，即将公布财报，将成为观察AI需求能否由辉达扩散至ASIC、网通与其他半导体供应链的重要指标。\n\n台股方面，受到美股科技股重挫，盘势开低后卖压快速扩大，盘中一度重挫逾800点，指数失守46,000点并回测45,450点附近，不过急杀后低档承接逐渐浮现，部分资金重新回流电子权值与AI族群，加上MSCI季度调整权重，尾盘出现较大规模资金进出，使指数波动进一步放大，盘面上，塑化族群受到CCL材料涨价题材带动相对强势，终场下跌202.98点，收在46128.47，成交量12017.93亿，收下影线678.26点，显示多方仍有一定支撑，目前下档均线呈现多头排列格局，且越线有守之下，偏多看待，这周三即将迎接国际半导体展登场，先进制程、AI伺服器及半导体供应链仍有个股表现机会，另外苹果iphnoe18 pro，首款折叠机即将发表，相关供应链将有机会表现；本周市场将聚焦(AVGO-US)博通财报、8月非农就业、及8月营收公布，这些事件将成为判断台股下一波攻击方向的重要关键。\n\n权值股方面，(2330-TW)台积电，下跌0.62%，收在2405元，矽光子技术加速进入AI资料中心，台积电表示，光收发器底层架构正迎来结构性转变，矽光子预估2027年市占率有望突破50%，共同封装光学CPO也将成为未来发展重点，最快今年下半年迎来量产，随AI算力需求持续攀升，2026年光收发器市场规模可望再成长50%，高阶高速产品需求强劲，台湾具备晶圆代工、雷射、光纤、连接器与测试等完整供应链优势，随CPO商业化加速，矽光子产业有望成为AI基础建设下一波重要成长动能； \n\n(2317-TW)鸿海，下跌1.19%，收在250元，AI伺服器需求持续升温，鸿海成为主要受惠者，研调机构预估2026年全球九大云端巨头资本支出年增达90%，在NVIDIA供应链与AI机柜市占率约40%优势下，鸿海可望直接受惠，2Q26营收达2.51兆元，年增39.83%，7月营收更达9,465亿元，创单月新高，随ASIC伺服器加速崛起，鸿海已取得多家CSP订单，预期2027年新增ASIC AI伺服器机柜客户，云端业务成长动能可望持续扩大；\n\n(2454-TW)联发科，下跌1.51%，收在3925元，受惠 Google TPU 与 AI ASIC 需求持续扩大，市场关注下一代 TPU 合作伙伴变化，研究认为，联发科在后续世代仍具重要角色，Google ASIC 长期趋势有利其资料中心业务，AI ASIC 强劲需求预期延续至2027年，下一代产品规模与单价均可望提升，资料中心 ASIC 营收上修至超过3,800亿元，营收占比达34.1%，EPS估171.6元，基本面成长动能仍强。\n\n强势族群方面，AI浪潮持续推升光学产业需求，从手机镜头、精密光学到高速光通讯，产业成长主轴正逐步扩大！(3008-TW)大立光，掌握高阶光学镜头技术；(3406-TW)玉晶光，受惠手机旺季并积极切入CPO光学元件；而(2455-TW)全新，则搭上AI资料中心与矽光子高速光通讯需求，随磷化铟基板料况改善，出货动能明显回升，三档各自卡位不同AI光学应用，强势表态\n\n佳萤早在2026.8.22股市期皇后领先预告 \n(3008-TW)大立光、(3406-TW)玉晶光&oplus;、(2455-TW)全新&oplus;\n\n<figure><img data-height=\"329\" data-mime=\"image/png\" data-ratio=\"1.6838905775075987\" data-src-m=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6592865/m/bc722fe1b34b1f3511ce7f4956b3bc32.jpg\" data-width=\"554\" src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6592865/l/bc722fe1b34b1f3511ce7f4956b3bc32.jpg\"></figure>\n\n2026.7.30股市期皇后领先预告(3008-TW)大立光\n\n<figure><img data-height=\"362\" data-mime=\"image/jpeg\" data-ratio=\"1.5276243093922652\" data-src-m=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6592865/m/66f3d0011f4d9a475c49406171c6cf18.jpg\" data-width=\"553\" src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6592865/l/66f3d0011f4d9a475c49406171c6cf18.jpg\"></figure>\n\n(3008-TW)大立光，3715=>7735，领先预告后+108%， \n光学镜头厂进入iPhone传统旺季，预期2H26营运逐季成长，3Q26营收估178.89亿元，季增30.92%，EPS 47.91元，受惠iPhone折叠机上市及可变光圈镜头升级，高阶产品单价提升，有望推升旺季营运表现，另一方面，公司积极布局CPO相关FAU零组件，产品精度优于业界平均，预计2026年取得客户认证，2027年上半年量产，若顺利放量，有望成为新成长引擎，提升市场评价。\n\n<figure><img data-height=\"360\" data-mime=\"image/png\" data-ratio=\"1.538888888888889\" data-src-m=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6592865/m/096eb9db01878fab10e714fa0d1c33b0.jpg\" data-width=\"554\" src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6592865/l/096eb9db01878fab10e714fa0d1c33b0.jpg\"></figure>\n\n2026.8.29股市期皇后领先预告(3406-TW)玉晶光\n\n<figure><img data-height=\"359\" data-mime=\"image/png\" data-ratio=\"1.5459610027855153\" data-src-m=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6592865/m/bac8283f08939fe8480bd7868e4805c1.jpg\" data-width=\"555\" src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6592865/l/bac8283f08939fe8480bd7868e4805c1.jpg\"></figure>\n\n(3406-TW)玉晶光，652=>1005，领先预告后+54%， \n玉晶光，7月营收达24.22亿元，月增39.28%、年增1.63%，创近半年新高，主要受惠传统旺季到来，光学镜头需求升温，前7月累计营收142.45亿元，年增14.2%，展望下半年，iPhone 18新机推出可望挹注手机镜头需求，同时玉晶光积极布局CPO光学元件，V沟、棱镜及插芯已完成送样，未来资本支出可望增加，此外，AR/VR、无人机与机器人等新专案持续推进，多元应用有助拓展中长期成长动能。\n\n<figure><img data-height=\"309\" data-mime=\"image/png\" data-ratio=\"1.7928802588996764\" data-src-m=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6592865/m/a589c75862b1ab5a13adbc62fc576003.jpg\" data-width=\"554\" src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6592865/l/a589c75862b1ab5a13adbc62fc576003.jpg\"></figure>\n\n2026.8.22股市期皇后领先预告(2455-TW)全新\n\n<figure><img data-height=\"363\" data-mime=\"image/png\" data-ratio=\"1.5261707988980717\" data-src-m=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6592865/m/212611e71415c2357e61d3a975f1112a.jpg\" data-width=\"554\" src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6592865/l/212611e71415c2357e61d3a975f1112a.jpg\"></figure>\n\n(2455-TW)全新，406=>477，领先预告后+17%， \n全新受惠AI资料中心需求持续热络，加上磷化铟基板料况改善，2H26营运动能可望优于上半年，7月营收4.22亿元，月增29.48%，创历史新高，其中光电子产品营收1.69亿元，月增93.74%，显示缺料瓶颈明显缓解，中国政府5月及7月两度核准磷化铟基板出口，供应量增加，且首批料件已陆续到货并投入生产，随AI光通讯需求升温、供应链恢复正常，法人看好下半年出货与营收持续成长。\n\n<figure><img data-height=\"347\" data-mime=\"image/png\" data-ratio=\"1.5965417867435159\" data-src-m=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6592865/m/a56cc3580f399dbe974020818e264288.jpg\" data-width=\"554\" src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6592865/l/a56cc3580f399dbe974020818e264288.jpg\"></figure>\n\n欢迎免费订阅 \n股市期皇后庄佳萤\n\n<a href=\"https://lin.ee/9cyliMq\">https://lin.ee/9cyliMq</a>\n\n8/31\n\n强势股分享\n\n【上市量大上涨股】 \n(6933-TW)AMAX-KY\n\n(1303-TW)南亚\n\n(1326-TW)台化\n\n(2434-TW)统懋\n\n(2455-TW)全新\n\n(1312-TW)国乔\n\n(7711-TW)永擎\n\n(2421-TW)建准\n\n(8103-TW)瀚荃\n\n(3406-TW)玉晶光\n\n(3006-TW)晶豪科\n\n(3008-TW)大立光\n\n(6205-TW)诠欣\n\n(2377-TW)微星\n\n(2723-TW)美食-KY\n\n(1717-TW)长兴\n\n<figure><img data-height=\"502\" data-mime=\"image/png\" data-ratio=\"1.1035856573705178\" data-src-m=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6592865/m/052e4947cb8e38e491f0a6bdf7b70b85.jpg\" data-width=\"554\" src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6592865/l/052e4947cb8e38e491f0a6bdf7b70b85.jpg\"></figure>\n\n8/31\n\n强势股分享\n\n【上柜量大上涨股】 \n(4908-TW)前鼎\n\n(8111-TW)立碁\n\n(3540-TW)曜越\n\n(3498-TW)阳程\n\n(3324-TW)双鸿\n\n(3374-TW)精材\n\n(3141-TW)晶宏\n\n(3339-TW)泰谷\n\n(5386-TW)青云\n\n(5426-TW)振发\n\n(6532-TW)瑞耘\n\n(3081-TW)联亚\n\n(3363-TW)上诠\n\n(6023-TW)元大期\n\n(5314-TW)世纪*\n\n(3441-TW)联一光\n\n<figure><img data-height=\"501\" data-mime=\"image/png\" data-ratio=\"1.1057884231536925\" data-src-m=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6592865/m/7f40ebb4be706b91127a3553db9d3e14.jpg\" data-width=\"554\" src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6592865/l/7f40ebb4be706b91127a3553db9d3e14.jpg\"></figure>\n\n庄佳萤分析师: \n每日分享盘势解析跟精选产业个股，让投资朋友轻松追踪2026年年台股操作方向，相关详细内容请加入Line@索取，免费提供给您!\n\n股市期皇后证期双分析师庄佳萤\n\nLINE官方帐号 \nLINE ID搜寻: @win1788 (@不可省略) \n或是点击下方网址加入 \n<a href=\"https://lin.ee/9cyliMq\">https://lin.ee/9cyliMq</a>\n\nYoutube影音频道精彩解盘影片不容错过! \n(记得按赞，订阅并打开小铃铛)\n\n<div class=\"youtube-embed-wrapper\" style=\"position:relative;padding-bottom:56.25%;padding-top:30px;height:0;overflow:hidden;\"><iframe allowfullscreen=\"\" frameborder=\"0\" height=\"360\" src=\"//www.youtube.com/embed/lnLmKx3dlUo\" style=\"position: absolute;top: 0;left: 0;width: 100%;height: 100%;\" width=\"640\"></iframe></div>\n\nFB粉丝团:【股市期皇后】\n\n<a href=\"https://goo.gl/kN2VKT\">https://goo.gl/kN2VKT</a> \n \n\n<figure><img data-height=\"361\" data-mime=\"image/png\" data-ratio=\"1.4155124653739612\" data-src-m=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6592865/m/5d7b11815d49aa11b29acc537cfbfdfb.jpg\" data-width=\"511\" src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6592865/l/5d7b11815d49aa11b29acc537cfbfdfb.jpg\"></figure>\n\n文章来源:摩尔投顾庄佳萤分析师\n\n本公司所推荐分析之个别有价证券 \n无不当之财务利益关系以往之绩效不保证未来获利 \n投资人应独立判断审慎评估并自负投资风险<div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n <ul>\n <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-942.html\" title=\"〈统一股东会〉这些原因拖累去年获利今年Q1业绩佳期待全年有表现\">〈统一股东会〉这些原因拖累去年获利今年Q1业绩佳期待全年有表现</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-10593.html\" title=\"营收速报 - 长荣钢(2211)7月营收14.59亿元年增率高达38.3％\">营收速报 - 长荣钢(2211)7月营收14.59亿元年增率高达38.3％</a></li>\n <li><a 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