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美债殖利率创高引发大震荡!AGI催生「Token经济学」,卡位Q4名单

2026-10-24 21:21:28 网络 阅读(60)

OpenAI于9月3日发布具有推理与代理能力的最新旗舰模型GPT-6 Astra后。Meta于9月8日正式推出全新个人AI 代理Muse,同样具有跨程式执行日常任务、长期形成与分担专案工作等能力。包含之前SpaceXAI推出的Grok Bot,及Anthropic的顶级旗舰模型Claude Fable 5.1,主要AI厂陆续发布初具代理AI功能的模型。

美债殖利率创高引发大震荡!AGI催生「Token经济学」,卡位Q4名单

根据美国人口普查局的商业趋势与展望调查(BTOS),数据显示企业在2025年12月至2026年5月),人工智慧的整体使用率在17%到20%之间波动,并且预计未来六个月内,20%到23%的企业将使用人工智慧,AI于企业的渗透率将持续提升。

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根据OpenAI统计6月份采用AI 外挂程式(AI Plugin),即连接大型语言模型的微型应用程式,以协助进行自动化处理文字、设计、写程式或分析资料等任务。

典型企业每周稳定使用高级AI外挂的活跃用户仅有9%,前沿企业(使用量排名前十)每周稳定使用高级AI外挂的活跃用户则提高至21%,Token的使用量则是8.3倍(1月份什仅2.6倍),这代表的意思就是「懂的高效利用 AI」的企业,更会积极利用AI来提升竞争优势。

助理AI的出现,则AI在线时间及应用的范围将会再度扩大,代表Token的消耗将会再度大增,这也是为何辉达执行长黄仁勋于今年3月份的GTC 2026大会上强调「Token经济学」与「AI工厂」,当推理AI与代理AI的时代来临时,Token的需求将会大增,每单位电力能产出最多Token的AI工厂,必然有助于营收与获利的提升。

这也是超大规模资料中心厂商愿意持续扩大资本支出的主因,因算力需求庞大,而最新的AI伺服器也开始转向AI推理服务并赚取营收,8/4『一兆美元商机来临!AI开始变现,那些供应链拉回就是买点?』里面提到,亚马逊财报公布时,亚马逊执行长贾西表示,AWS伺服器投资预计将在两到三年内收回成本,其伺服器的使用寿命为五到六年。

前置资本支出虽然现金流压力较大,但后续回流资金的速度也将会很快,超大规模资料中心厂商对AI伺服器需求旺,而辉达新一代AI平台 Vera Rubin于6月开始进入量产,Q4开始出货,明年开始扩大布署,相关供应链营收又将高成长,如:Rubin世代单颗晶片使用ABF较Blackwell增118%;800VHDC架构导入;液冷渗透率提升至6成;导入CPO应用;CoWoS-L先进封装等等。多产业与多家台厂将受惠,部分绩优股如下。

美债殖利率持续影响市场情绪,但强势股将会抗跌,并且领先回升,加权指数46000点为支撑,回测就是买进机会。9/2文章『9月魔咒!四巫日9.6兆美元结算!是危机还是黄金坑?』中提到9月或许会面对震荡整理,但之后却是坦途,尤其是美国中期选居之后,12个月的平均报酬率高达16.3%。因此,不要受市场短期情绪影响,想要提前布局Q4行情吗?此时正是换股的机会。锁定Q4与明年波段行情,加入我的行列,可先加入https://user225916.pse.is/money668并私讯【金融家】

ABF:欣兴(3037-TW)、景硕(3189-TW)、臻鼎-KY(4958-TW)

CPO:精材(3374-TW)、讯芯-KY(6451-TW)、光圣(6442-TW)、上诠(3363-TW)、联亚(3081-TW)

800V HVDC:台达电(2308-TW)、光宝科(2301-TW)、顺达(3211-TW)、新盛力(4931-TW)、顺德(2351-TW)

SiC:汉磊(3707-TW)、嘉晶(3016-TW)、世界(5347-TW)

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文章来源:摩尔投顾-叶俊敏分析师

本公司所推荐分析之个别有价证券 无不当之财务利益关系 以往之绩效不保证未来获利 投资人应独立判断 审慎评估并自负投资风险

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    "content": "<p><strong>OpenAI</strong><strong>于9月3日发布具有推理与代理能力的最新旗舰模型GPT-6 Astra后。Meta于9月8日正式推出全新个人AI 代理<a href=\"https://www.blocktempo.com/meta-launches-muse-personal-ai-agent/\" target=\"_blank\">Muse</a>,同样具有跨程式执行日常任务、长期形成与分担专案工作等能力。包含之前SpaceXAI推出的Grok Bot,及Anthropic的顶级旗舰模型Claude Fable 5.1,主要AI厂陆续发布初具代理AI功能的模型。</strong></p>\n<p style=\"text-align:center;\"><img src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6602851/l/151acccf5673278e515e2d282ad26ad6.jpg\" alt=\"美债殖利率创高引发大震荡!AGI催生「Token经济学」,卡位Q4名单\" style=\"width:50%;height:auto;border-radius:6px;margin:15px auto;display:block;\"></p>\n\n\n<p><strong>根据美国人口普查局的商业趋势与展望调查(BTOS),数据显示企业在2025年12月至2026年5月),人工智慧的整体使用率在17%到20%之间波动,并且预计未来六个月内,20%到23%的企业将使用人工智慧,AI于企业的渗透率将持续提升。</strong></p>\n\n<p><strong>更多的投资策略与选股资讯都在-<br>\nLINE@</strong> <a href=\"https://user225916.pse.is/money668\"><strong>https://user225916.pse.is/money668</strong></a><br>\n<strong>频道连结</strong><a href=\"https://www.youtube.com/@money66868\"><strong>https://www.youtube.com/@money66868</strong></a></p>\n\n<p><strong> </strong><strong>根据OpenAI统计6月份采用AI 外挂程式(AI Plugin),即连接大型语言模型的微型应用程式,以协助进行自动化处理文字、设计、写程式或分析资料等任务。</strong></p>\n\n<p><strong>典型企业每周稳定使用高级AI外挂的活跃用户仅有9%,前沿企业(使用量排名前十)每周稳定使用高级AI外挂的活跃用户则提高至21%,Token的使用量则是8.3倍(1月份什仅2.6倍),这代表的意思就是</strong><strong>「懂的高效利用 AI」的企业,更会积极利用AI来提升竞争优势</strong><strong>。</strong></p>\n\n<p><strong>助理AI的出现,则AI在线时间及应用的范围将会再度扩大,代表Token的消耗将会再度大增,这也是为何辉达执行长黄仁勋于今年3月份的GTC 2026大会上强调「Token经济学」与「AI工厂」,当推理AI与代理AI的时代来临时,Token的需求将会大增,每单位电力能产出最多Token的AI工厂,必然有助于营收与获利的提升。</strong></p>\n\n<p><strong>这也是超大规模资料中心厂商愿意持续扩大资本支出的主因,因算力需求庞大,而最新的AI伺服器也开始转向AI推理服务并赚取营收,8/4『一兆美元商机来临!AI开始变现,那些供应链拉回就是买点?』里面提到,亚马逊财报公布时,亚马逊执行长贾西表示,AWS伺服器投资预计将在两到三年内收回成本,其伺服器的使用寿命为五到六年。</strong></p>\n\n<p><strong>前置资本支出虽然现金流压力较大,但后续回流资金的速度也将会很快,超大规模资料中心厂商对AI伺服器需求旺,而辉达新一代AI平台 Vera Rubin于6月开始进入量产,Q4开始出货,明年开始扩大布署,相关供应链营收又将高成长,如:Rubin世代单颗晶片使用ABF较Blackwell增118%;800VHDC架构导入;液冷渗透率提升至6成;导入CPO应用;CoWoS-L先进封装等等。多产业与多家台厂将受惠,部分绩优股如下。</strong></p>\n\n<p><strong>美债殖利率持续影响市场情绪,但强势股将会抗跌,并且领先回升,加权指数46000点为支撑,回测就是买进机会。9/2文章『9月魔咒!四巫日9.6兆美元结算!是危机还是黄金坑?』中提到9月或许会面对震荡整理,但之后却是坦途,尤其是美国中期选居之后,12个月的平均报酬率高达16.3%。因此,不要受市场短期情绪影响,想要提前布局Q4行情吗?此时正是换股的机会。锁定Q4与明年波段行情,加入我的行列,可先加入</strong><a href=\"https://user225916.pse.is/money668\"><strong>https://user225916.pse.is/money668</strong></a><strong>并私讯【金融家】</strong></p>\n\n<p><strong>ABF</strong><strong>:欣兴(3037-TW)、景硕(3189-TW)、臻鼎-KY(4958-TW)</strong></p>\n\n<p><strong>CPO</strong><strong>:精材(3374-TW)、讯芯-KY(6451-TW)、光圣(6442-TW)、上诠(3363-TW)、联亚(3081-TW)</strong></p>\n\n<p><strong>800V HVDC</strong><strong>:台达电(2308-TW)、光宝科(2301-TW)、顺达(3211-TW)、新盛力(4931-TW)、顺德(2351-TW)</strong></p>\n\n<p><strong>SiC</strong><strong>:汉磊(3707-TW)、嘉晶(3016-TW)、世界(5347-TW)</strong></p>\n\n<p><strong>更多产业趋势预告+盘中讯息&rarr;<br>\n都在叶老师的 Line @:<br>\nLINE@ID:@money668 (@要记得加)</strong></p>\n\n<p><a href=\"https://user225916.pse.is/money668\"><strong>https://user225916.pse.is/money668</strong></a><strong> </strong><br>\n<strong>加入之后可以留言《巨亨网》让我知道你从哪里认识我的,有优惠活动或赠品会优先通知喔!</strong></p>\n\n<p><strong>文章来源:摩尔投顾-叶俊敏分析师</strong></p>\n\n<p class=\"warning\"><strong>本公司所推荐分析之个别有价证券 无不当之财务利益关系 以往之绩效不保证未来获利 投资人应独立判断 审慎评估并自负投资风险</strong></p><div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n  <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n  <ul>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-14473.html\" title=\"柜买量价背离暗藏杀机?台币强升点燃权值行情,低基期供应链要发动了?\">柜买量价背离暗藏杀机?台币强升点燃权值行情,低基期供应链要发动了?</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-19985.html\" title=\"上银(2049)9月营收创近50个月新高年增30.14%,订单能见度延伸至2027年第二季、半导体与机器人双引擎点火\">上银(2049)9月营收创近50个月新高年增30.14%,订单能见度延伸至2027年第二季、半导体与机器人双引擎点火</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-17716.html\" title=\"撷发科AI无人机报捷 获美欧青睐扩大全球版图\">撷发科AI无人机报捷 获美欧青睐扩大全球版图</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-2058.html\" title=\"〈焦点股〉AI热络排挤泛电竞拉货 动力-KY 5月营收年月双衰退 跌逾半根停板\">〈焦点股〉AI热络排挤泛电竞拉货 动力-KY 5月营收年月双衰退 跌逾半根停板</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-4662.html\" title=\"强茂参加2026慕尼黑上海电子展 展车电及AI Server双核强化市场占有率\">强茂参加2026慕尼黑上海电子展 展车电及AI Server双核强化市场占有率</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-483.html\" title=\"传大砍员工分红 台积电辟谣:员工分红增幅将优于去年\">传大砍员工分红 台积电辟谣:员工分红增幅将优于去年</a></li>\n  </ul>\n</div>",
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    "createdAt": "2026-09-10T05:42:50.000Z",
    "updatedAt": "2026-10-24T13:21:28.000Z"
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