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联准会升息预期升温推升美元 亚币普遍走弱、日元维持7个月高位

2026-09-14 15:23:11 网络 阅读(1)

受市场对美国联准会本周升息预期大幅上升影响,美元强势走高,亚洲货币周一(14日)普遍对美元走弱。然而,由于市场押注日本银行(BOJ)将加速紧缩货币政策,日元表现相对坚挺,维持在接近7个月的高位附近。

联准会升息预期升温推升美元 亚币普遍走弱、日元维持7个月高位

在美国8月消费者物价指数(CPI)加速上涨后,根据 CME FedWatch 工具显示,市场目前预估联准会在9月16日会议升息的机率已升至 86%。升息预期的剧增带动美元指数上涨0.2%至99.35附近,结束了连续两周的微幅下跌。

美债殖利率同步受到支撑,10年期美债殖利率来到约4.97%,而对政策利率极为敏感的2年期美债殖利率则保持在4.6%以上。

本周全球金融市场迎来关键的「超级央行周」,联准会、英国央行与日本央行将接连公布最新利率决策。市场目前已几乎完全消化日本银行周五将升息25个基点(0.25%)的预期,加上投资人预计日本海外资产可能回流,带动日元本月累积上涨约 4%。

目前美元对日元交投于154.03附近,维持在接近上周创下的2月以来最高点152.89附近,投机客自2月以来首次转为净多头。

在其他主要货币方面,欧元对美元下跌0.3%至1.1564,英镑对美元下跌0.2%至1.3501。亚币与周边货币普遍承压,美元对澳元上涨0.4%、对韩元上涨0.25%、对新加坡元上涨0.16%,纽元对美元则下跌0.5%。人民币表现相对平稳,美元对离岸人民币微升0.01%至6.7080,印度市场则因国定假日休市。

此外,中东地区的新冲突引发供应疑虑,布兰特原油期货大涨近3%至每桶107.60美元。油价持续稳居100美元上方,恐使能源通膨居高不下,进一步增添各国央行在制定利率政策时的复杂度与考验。

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    {
      "id": 15611,
      "title": "亚洲主要交易所第一枪!韩股周一起延长交易时间 2400档股票盘后交易到晚上8点",
      "shortTitle": "亚洲主要交易所第一枪!韩股周一起延长交易时间 2400档股票",
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      "createdAt": "2026-09-13T22:50:02.000Z",
      "description": "韩国交易所(KRX)将于周一(14日)起开办股票盘后连续交易,常规9时至15时30分收盘后,16时至20时开放KOSPI与KOSDAQ绝大部分股票实时买卖,取代原先16时至18时、每10分钟集合竞价的旧制,朝「更长交易、接轨全球」迈出实质一步。 新时段涵盖约2400至2600档普通股及存托凭证,ETF、ETN及被列为投资警告、风险管理或停牌者除外。为控制波动,仅接受限价单等类型,不开市价单,并沿用个股涨跌限制与熔断等稳定机制,同时允许符合规则的卖空。 KRX预估,38家券商参与、市占率合计逾95",
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      "id": 15604,
      "title": "持续施压Fed降息!川普:美国应该拥有全球最低的利率",
      "shortTitle": "持续施压Fed降息!川普:美国应该拥有全球最低的利率",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6605314/l/31020c57ecaccfb697c66370cd02c3d8.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-09-13T21:00:07.000Z",
      "description": "美国总统川普最新表示,美国应拥有全球最低利率,但与此同时,他亲自挑选的联准会(Fed)主席华许正面临越来越大的升息压力。 川普周日(13日)在爱尔兰出席爱尔兰高尔夫球公开赛期间告诉记者:「美国如此强大,我们应支付全球最低的利率,不管他们那些公式怎么算。」 川普还说:「我比任何人都懂公式。美国拥有全球最好的信用,但我们却让其他国家变得富有。我们两分钟内就可以把这一切关掉。」 当被问及是否预计Fed将升息时,川普说:「我不知道。」 上周五(11日)公布的数据显示,美国8月消费者物价指数(CPI)涨幅",
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      "title": "00992B聚焦短天期非投等债 10元入手,5大特色一次看",
      "shortTitle": "00992B聚焦短天期非投等债 10元入手,5大特色一次看",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6601338/l/a32ea5ea5ceed63290b87dffe1c13414.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-09-14T01:06:41.000Z",
      "description": "【街口投信行销资讯】 非投资等级债因收益水准较高,是许多投资人打造现金流的选择,但「高息是否也伴随较高违约风险?」亦是不少存债族最关心的问题。即将于9月14日展开募集的00992B街口特选优息非投资等级债券ETF(基金之配息来源可能为收益平准金且并无保证收益及配息),锁定1至5年期、票面利率7%以上非投等债,并加入分散配置与信用预警两道风控机制,在追求高息之余也强化风险把关。究竟00992B有何特色?以下5大重点一次看懂。(*) 重点一》锁定7%以上票面利率非投等债,聚焦短天期收益机会 0099",
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      "title": "川普:考虑解密更多「9·11」事件档案",
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      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6605350/l/c9a1eeeb0337aff8351ab9d3ce7d8695.jpg",
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      "id": 15648,
      "title": "哈塞特::川普「100%尊重」联准会独立性、通膨降温没必要升息",
      "shortTitle": "哈塞特::川普「100%尊重」联准会独立性、通膨降温没必要升",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6605320/l/ef7e7c480fca42aa3f5de784e84094e5.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-09-14T02:49:09.000Z",
      "description": "白宫经济顾问哈塞特表示,川普100%尊重联准会独立性,并认为近期通膨降温、没有升息必要;白宫本周也将讨论AI安全监管。",
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      "id": 15665,
      "title": "川普称美国可能留在伊朗「保留石油」!伊朗战争料「年底前」结束",
      "shortTitle": "川普称美国可能留在伊朗「保留石油」!伊朗战争料「年底前」结束",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6605321/l/32e9bd97246d2fe234c0db6d79883271.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-09-14T04:10:02.000Z",
      "description": "川普表示美国可能在伊朗战争结束后继续留在当地并「保留石油」,并预期战事今年内结束;中东局势持续推升油价压力。",
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      "title": "川普称「不担心」习近平取消访美!传美对台140亿美元军售成美中峰会变数",
      "shortTitle": "川普称「不担心」习近平取消访美!传美对台140亿美元军售成美",
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