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〈贵金属盘后〉油价大涨助长升息机率 现货黄金跌破4300美元

2026-09-16 06:58:41 网络 阅读(1)

金价周二(15日)下跌,主因是油价大涨带来通膨升温疑虑,强化了联准会(Fed)本周升息的预期心理,美元及美债殖利率上扬,而不孳息的黄金则下跌。

〈贵金属盘后〉油价大涨助长升息机率 现货黄金跌破4300美元

  • 黄金现货下跌0.1%,报每盎司4293.29美元,盘中一度跌到8月7日以来最低。
  • 美国黄金期货收低0.4%,报每盎司4332.80美元。

StoneX资深市场策略师Daniel Pavilonis说:「能源价格上涨会导致更多通膨。更高的通膨可能推升利率。这对黄金不利……黄金目前处于区间震荡格局。如果利率持续走高,金价实际上可能进一步遭到抛售。」

交易员屏息以待Fed将于周三美东时间下午2时(台湾时间周四凌晨2时)公布的利率决策。金融市场目前押注,Fed决策官员将升息1码(25个基点)至3.75-4.00%区间,并释出未来进一步紧缩的讯号。

Pavilonis说:「我认为,很多(升息恐慌)已经反映在价格中……真正取决于Fed之后会说什么。他们会继续升息吗?还是会观察情势?整体而言,这对黄金不是好兆头。」

美元走强,使以美元计价的黄金对其他货币持有者而言更加昂贵。与此同时,美国10年期公债殖利率升至2007年以来最高水准。

黄金传统上被视为对抗通膨与地缘政治不确定性的避险工具,但当无风险的美债殖利率走高,会降低黄金这类不孳息资产的吸引力。

ING分析师在一份报告中说:「Fed偏鹰风险大多已反映在价格中。不过,如果决策官员释出利率将在更长时间维持高档的讯号,黄金仍可能面临压力。」

油价上涨超过3美元,航运业消息人士表示,沙乌地阿拉伯红海港口延布(Yanbu)的石油装载作业已暂停。由于利比亚也已停止三座油田的作业,加剧市场对关键石油供应路线中断可能持续数周的疑虑。

其他贵金属交易
  • 现货白银上扬0.3%,报每盎司63.41美元。
  • 现货白金上涨0.7%,报每盎司1772.32美元。
  • 现货钯金上升0.1%,报每盎司1294.14美元。

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      "shortTitle": "《纽约客》美国真正有钱人不只亿万富翁!「主街百万富翁」掌握庞",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6606613/l/3e19cf5ddcacb5bbbdcbe320b450c76d.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-09-15T08:40:06.000Z",
      "description": "美国财富集中不只发生在亿万富翁身上。经济学家指出,「主街百万富翁」人数庞大,遍布汽车经销、餐饮、医疗等产业,并透过企业与税制累积财富,同时拥有日益重要的政治影响力。",
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    {
      "id": 15902,
      "title": "MaiCoin携手莱尔富 加密货币支付首度支援超商消费",
      "shortTitle": "MaiCoin携手莱尔富 加密货币支付首度支援超商消费",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6606894/l/7cf38f90943ae03f50f18c14129c9d60.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-09-15T08:53:47.000Z",
      "description": "MaiCoin携手莱尔富 加密货币支付首度支援超商消费",
      "pv": 3,
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    },
    {
      "id": 15911,
      "title": "日本百岁人瑞突破10万人大关 高龄化凸显照护与财政压力",
      "shortTitle": "日本百岁人瑞突破10万人大关 高龄化凸显照护与财政压力",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6606413/l/8ca878773a13a847b36eff21ff9b9b17.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-09-15T09:30:17.000Z",
      "description": "日本百岁人瑞人数首度突破10万人大关,这项里程碑凸显日本人民长寿程度惊人,也反映人口快速高龄化带来的照护成本日益沉重。 日本厚生劳动省周二(15日)公布,截至15日为止,日本100岁以上人口增至创纪录的10万7,677人。1963年开始统计时,日本百岁人瑞仅153人,之后一路大幅增加,到1998年已突破1万人。 这项里程碑再次凸显日本是全球平均寿命最长国家之一,也反映公共卫生与医疗照护进步,以及相对健康的饮食与活跃生活方式。 另据联合国估算,2026年全球100岁以上人口约67.2万人,其中日本",
      "pv": 3,
      "pinyin": "hour",
      "name": "实时",
      "path": "/hour"
    },
    {
      "id": 15925,
      "title": "拉加德是否提前离职?欧洲央行员工罕见施压要求说清楚",
      "shortTitle": "拉加德是否提前离职?欧洲央行员工罕见施压要求说清楚",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6606771/l/0a6866b06e86c12a4c95d35880277162.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-09-15T10:30:06.000Z",
      "description": "欧洲央行(ECB)行长拉加德(Christine Lagarde)去留引发内部不安。员工委员会罕见致函执行委员会,要求她明确说明是否会提前离职,并警告高层去留长期不明,恐损害市场与员工信任,干扰领导层交接及未来策略安排。 员工代表指出,领导阶层持续处于不明朗状态,不仅可能影响外界对欧洲央行沟通的信任,也会加剧员工与利害关系人的担忧,使继任安排及策略重点更难有序规划。 拉加德先前曾公开表示,将留任至2027年,但始终没有明确承诺会完成8年任期。她上周再度被问及个人未来时,仅回应「没有可报告的消息」",
      "pv": 3,
      "pinyin": "hour",
      "name": "实时",
      "path": "/hour"
    },
    {
      "id": 15947,
      "title": "华尔街划出美股生死线!10年期美债殖利率攻入危险区",
      "shortTitle": "华尔街划出美股生死线!10年期美债殖利率攻入危险区",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6607215/l/300cde424349741815b94cb1e0763915.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-09-15T12:40:03.000Z",
      "description": "美国10年期公债殖利率近3年来首度突破5%,正值美股进入历来波动较剧烈的时期,进一步升高市场修正压力。策略师认为,殖利率突破5%本身未必足以终结多头,真正关键在于接下来上升的速度,以及联准会(Fed)周三升息后,是否暗示还有更多紧缩行动。",
      "pv": 3,
      "pinyin": "hour",
      "name": "实时",
      "path": "/hour"
    },
    {
      "id": 15948,
      "title": "升级后故障照样收钱?苹果「软体不保固」条款遭印度调查",
      "shortTitle": "升级后故障照样收钱?苹果「软体不保固」条款遭印度调查",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6607137/l/b73254333ff425387a46604f63477ddc.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-09-15T12:20:04.000Z",
      "description": "印度消费者监管机关正升级调查苹果(AAPL-US)的软体保固条款,起因是部分消费者指控,升级iOS 18后出现萤幕及麦克风故障,却因苹果不为软体提供保固,被迫支付「高得离谱」的维修费用。若违法事实成立,苹果除可能遭到罚款,也可能被要求退款或修改现行保固与营运做法。",
      "pv": 3,
      "pinyin": "hour",
      "name": "实时",
      "path": "/hour"
    },
    {
      "id": 15952,
      "title": "乌克兰无视川普警告 袭击俄罗斯炼油厂",
      "shortTitle": "乌克兰无视川普警告 袭击俄罗斯炼油厂",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6607252/l/3acfa484e029497f2f90afa5beea8619.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-09-15T13:47:35.000Z",
      "description": "乌克兰继续袭击俄罗斯炼油设施,俄乌能源停火承诺再遭冲击。美国总统川普此前宣布俄罗斯和乌克兰已同意停止相互攻击能源目标,但乌克兰总统泽伦斯基随后表示,乌军已打击俄罗斯萨马拉地区锡兹兰炼油厂。",
      "pv": 3,
      "pinyin": "hour",
      "name": "实时",
      "path": "/hour"
    },
    {
      "id": 15960,
      "title": "美债殖利率飙近20年高!贝森特归因「全球问题」 川习会前先晤何立峰谈伊朗",
      "shortTitle": "美债殖利率飙近20年高!贝森特归因「全球问题」 川习会前先晤",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6607341/l/c89e3aa522778ec39affda4968d1fc34.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-09-15T15:30:06.000Z",
      "description": "美国财政部长贝森特(Scott Bessent)周二(15日)将近期美债殖利率飙升归因于「全球性问题」,但未进一步说明具体原因。美国10年期公债殖利率当天升至2007年以来最高,成为全球债市抛售的最新里程碑。",
      "pv": 1,
      "pinyin": "hour",
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      "path": "/hour"
    },
    {
      "id": 15961,
      "title": "川习会前传进展 美中讨论调降农产品、能源关税",
      "shortTitle": "川习会前传进展 美中讨论调降农产品、能源关税",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6607324/l/c7c476a059e375bc64bd2fa2c9562f92.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-09-15T15:30:04.000Z",
      "description": "美国与中国正讨论大幅调降部分商品关税,范围包括美国能源与农产品输中关税。这项进展可能显示,下周两国领袖峰会有望促成为期一年的贸易休兵协议延长。 彭博引述消息人士报导,双方会谈也可能达成协议,降低中国制造业原料输美关税。相关措施预计依照先前规画执行,针对约 300 亿美元贸易额相互调降关税。消息人士透露,部分中国商品可能适用最惠国税率。 农业预料将在此次谈判中扮演核心角色。两名知情人士透露,中国国有粮食贸易商中粮集团(COFCO)代表可能随中国国家主席习近平赴美,与美国总统川普会面。 此外,中方也",
      "pv": 1,
      "pinyin": "hour",
      "name": "实时",
      "path": "/hour"
    },
    {
      "id": 15963,
      "title": "原油近月价差扩大!供应紧张警讯升高 布兰特油价上看125美元",
      "shortTitle": "原油近月价差扩大!供应紧张警讯升高 布兰特油价上看125美元",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6606408/l/2509b0dd28670b1835a43e5dd6d035f5.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-09-15T16:00:13.000Z",
      "description": "由于原油供应吃紧,世界各地买家如今若想立即取得一桶原油,必须支付更高价格,而非锁定未来几周或几个月交货的较低价格,这是能源市场可能难以跟上需求的警讯。 原油「近月价差」扩大 供应紧张疑虑升温 近期美国汽油价格节节高升,目前平均价格为每加仑4.32美元,尽管仍低于2022年6月俄罗斯入侵乌克兰后曾创下的接近每加仑5.02美元纪录,但美国驾驶人也可能需要做好未来几周汽油价格上涨的准备。 原油价格上涨通常需要一段时间才会反映在零售汽油价格,但从原油市场的「近月价差」(prompt spread)来看,",
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    "shortTitle": "〈贵金属盘后〉油价大涨助长升息机率 现货黄金跌破4300美元",
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    "author": "网络",
    "description": "金价周二(15日)下跌,主因是油价大涨带来通膨升温疑虑,强化了联准会(Fed)本周升息的预期心理,美元及美债殖利率上扬,而不孳息的黄金则下跌。 黄金现货下跌0.1%,报每盎司4293.29美元,盘中一度跌到8月7日以来最低。 美国黄金期货收低0.4%,报每盎司4332.80美元。 StoneX资深市场策略师Daniel Pavilonis说:「能源价格上涨会导致更多通膨。更高的通膨可能推升利率。这对黄金不利……黄金目前处于区间震荡格局。如果利率持续走高,金价实际上可能",
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    "content": "<p>金价周二(15日)下跌,主因是油价大涨带来通膨升温疑虑,强化了联准会(Fed)本周升息的预期心理,美元及美债殖利率上扬,而不孳息的黄金则下跌。</p>\n<p style=\"text-align:center;\"><img src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6606924/l/6b144200241fe494403385b956551c49.jpg\" alt=\"〈贵金属盘后〉油价大涨助长升息机率 现货黄金跌破4300美元\" style=\"width:50%;height:auto;border-radius:6px;margin:15px auto;display:block;\"></p>\n\n\n<ul>\n<li>黄金现货下跌0.1%,报每盎司4293.29美元,盘中一度跌到8月7日以来最低。</li>\n<li>美国黄金期货收低0.4%,报每盎司4332.80美元。</li>\n</ul>\n\n<p>StoneX资深市场策略师Daniel Pavilonis说:「能源价格上涨会导致更多通膨。更高的通膨可能推升利率。这对黄金不利&hellip;&hellip;黄金目前处于区间震荡格局。如果利率持续走高,金价实际上可能进一步遭到抛售。」</p>\n\n<p>交易员屏息以待Fed将于周三美东时间下午2时(台湾时间周四凌晨2时)公布的利率决策。金融市场目前押注,Fed决策官员将升息1码(25个基点)至3.75-4.00%区间,并释出未来进一步紧缩的讯号。</p>\n\n<p>Pavilonis说:「我认为,很多(升息恐慌)已经反映在价格中&hellip;&hellip;真正取决于Fed之后会说什么。他们会继续升息吗?还是会观察情势?整体而言,这对黄金不是好兆头。」</p>\n\n<p>美元走强,使以美元计价的黄金对其他货币持有者而言更加昂贵。与此同时,美国10年期公债殖利率升至2007年以来最高水准。</p>\n\n<p>黄金传统上被视为对抗通膨与地缘政治不确定性的避险工具,但当无风险的美债殖利率走高,会降低黄金这类不孳息资产的吸引力。</p>\n\n<p>ING分析师在一份报告中说:「Fed偏鹰风险大多已反映在价格中。不过,如果决策官员释出利率将在更长时间维持高档的讯号,黄金仍可能面临压力。」</p>\n\n<p>油价上涨超过3美元,航运业消息人士表示,沙乌地阿拉伯红海港口延布(Yanbu)的石油装载作业已暂停。由于利比亚也已停止三座油田的作业,加剧市场对关键石油供应路线中断可能持续数周的疑虑。</p>\n\n<h6>其他贵金属交易</h6>\n\n<ul>\n<li>现货白银上扬0.3%,报每盎司63.41美元。</li>\n<li>现货白金上涨0.7%,报每盎司1772.32美元。</li>\n<li>现货钯金上升0.1%,报每盎司1294.14美元。</li>\n</ul><div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n  <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n  <ul>\n    <li><a href=\"/hour/article-15925.html\" title=\"拉加德是否提前离职?欧洲央行员工罕见施压要求说清楚\">拉加德是否提前离职?欧洲央行员工罕见施压要求说清楚</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/hour/article-15961.html\" title=\"川习会前传进展 美中讨论调降农产品、能源关税\">川习会前传进展 美中讨论调降农产品、能源关税</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/hour/article-15963.html\" title=\"原油近月价差扩大!供应紧张警讯升高 布兰特油价上看125美元\">原油近月价差扩大!供应紧张警讯升高 布兰特油价上看125美元</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/hour/article-15902.html\" title=\"MaiCoin携手莱尔富 加密货币支付首度支援超商消费\">MaiCoin携手莱尔富 加密货币支付首度支援超商消费</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/hour/article-15978.html\" title=\"美参院挡下全面性加密货币法案 比特币重挫逾5% 加密股同步趴倒\">美参院挡下全面性加密货币法案 比特币重挫逾5% 加密股同步趴倒</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/hour/article-15987.html\" title=\"比特币因Clarity法案未推进下跌 伍德正抛售加密货币股?\">比特币因Clarity法案未推进下跌 伍德正抛售加密货币股?</a></li>\n  </ul>\n</div>",
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