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美媒提美中「战略重置」构想:川普放弃台湾、换陆撤出「这2国」

2026-09-16 07:58:42 网络 阅读(1)

美中战略竞争持续之际,美国媒体提出美国总统川普与中国国家主席习近平「战略重置」构想,主张双方以台湾、委内瑞拉及古巴等议题相互让步,降低彼此在对方势力范围的存在,并进一步厘清经济脱钩与势力范围,建立长期共存框架。

美媒提美中「战略重置」构想:川普放弃台湾、换陆撤出「这2国」

美媒《华盛顿观察家报》近日刊登评论指出,习近平预计9月24日在华盛顿与川普会面,若这场峰会不只是政治表演,双方就必须达成具体且可执行的协议,并在未来两年内逐步落实。

按照文章构想,川普可宣布美国自2028年12月31日起停止向台湾交付军事装备与物资、关闭美国在台协会办事处,并不再认定钓鱼台列屿(日本称尖阁诸岛)属于《美日安保条约》的共同防御范围。

作为交换,习近平则可宣布,截至2028年12月31日,所有最终由中国大陆企业持有或控制、在委内瑞拉营运的企业停止营运,或将股权出售给经委内瑞拉相关主管机关核准的非中国大陆实体。

此外,中国大陆企业将向最终由美国企业持有或控制的实体购买至少300亿美元的能源与农产品,付款方式包括以中国大陆实体持有、按面值计算的委内瑞拉官方债务支付,其余则以美元支付。

同时,在古巴营运且最终由中国大陆企业持有或控制的所有企业,也将停止营运或出售股权给经古巴主管机关核准的非中国大陆实体。

这项构想认为,美中双方若达成上述安排,实际上是在承认各自面临的地缘战略现实。

作者认为,从美国角度来看,川普将承认台湾与中国大陆统一并不构成美国核心国家利益的威胁;同时,美国放弃将钓鱼台列屿纳入美日共同防御范围,亦相当于承认该群岛并非美国核心国家利益所在。

至于中国大陆,作者认为,这代表北京将承认取得委内瑞拉能源资源并非中国大陆核心国家利益;而古巴缺乏具战略重要性的天然资源,因此也不属于中国大陆核心利益范围。

在这套设计下,文章主张,美国放弃部分在台湾及钓鱼台列屿的战略布局,中国大陆则减少在委内瑞拉及古巴的经济存在,借由相互让步换取战略空间。

除了具体交易之外,作者认为,9月24日的川普与习近平会晤还应建立中美长期共存的基本框架,涵盖四大议题,包括:

  • 明确界定各自认定的地理势力范围;
  • 厘清经济脱钩的具体界线;
  • 确认彼此战略伙伴及其势力范围,例如欧盟、俄罗斯与伊朗;
  • 厘清中美企业可能展开竞争的中立地带,包括东南亚、南亚及非洲等地。

作者认为,上述议题可在未来一年进一步讨论,并成为2027年9月川普与习近平在北京举行峰会时的主要议程,使两国战略关系从过去强调「相互确保摧毁」,转向「相互确保生存」。

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    "description": "美国《华盛顿观察家报》提出川普与习近平9月24日峰会的「战略重置」构想,主张美中相互缩减在对方势力范围的存在,并以台湾、委内瑞拉及古巴议题交换,建立长期共存框架。",
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    "content": "<p>美中战略竞争持续之际,美国媒体提出美国总统川普与中国国家主席习近平「战略重置」构想,主张双方以台湾、委内瑞拉及古巴等议题相互让步,降低彼此在对方势力范围的存在,并进一步厘清经济脱钩与势力范围,建立长期共存框架。</p>\n<p style=\"text-align:center;\"><img src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6606825/l/9dbe4680e39b2659f79b110667993c54.jpg\" alt=\"美媒提美中「战略重置」构想:川普放弃台湾、换陆撤出「这2国」\" style=\"width:50%;height:auto;border-radius:6px;margin:15px auto;display:block;\"></p>\n\n\n<p>美媒《华盛顿观察家报》近日刊登评论指出,习近平预计9月24日在华盛顿与川普会面,若这场峰会不只是政治表演,双方就必须达成具体且可执行的协议,并在未来两年内逐步落实。</p>\n\n<p>按照文章构想,川普可宣布美国自2028年12月31日起停止向台湾交付军事装备与物资、关闭美国在台协会办事处,并不再认定钓鱼台列屿(日本称尖阁诸岛)属于《美日安保条约》的共同防御范围。</p>\n\n<p>作为交换,习近平则可宣布,截至2028年12月31日,所有最终由中国大陆企业持有或控制、在委内瑞拉营运的企业停止营运,或将股权出售给经委内瑞拉相关主管机关核准的非中国大陆实体。</p>\n\n<p>此外,中国大陆企业将向最终由美国企业持有或控制的实体购买至少300亿美元的能源与农产品,付款方式包括以中国大陆实体持有、按面值计算的委内瑞拉官方债务支付,其余则以美元支付。</p>\n\n<p>同时,在古巴营运且最终由中国大陆企业持有或控制的所有企业,也将停止营运或出售股权给经古巴主管机关核准的非中国大陆实体。</p>\n\n<p>这项构想认为,美中双方若达成上述安排,实际上是在承认各自面临的地缘战略现实。</p>\n\n<p>作者认为,从美国角度来看,川普将承认台湾与中国大陆统一并不构成美国核心国家利益的威胁;同时,美国放弃将钓鱼台列屿纳入美日共同防御范围,亦相当于承认该群岛并非美国核心国家利益所在。</p>\n\n<p>至于中国大陆,作者认为,这代表北京将承认取得委内瑞拉能源资源并非中国大陆核心国家利益;而古巴缺乏具战略重要性的天然资源,因此也不属于中国大陆核心利益范围。</p>\n\n<p>在这套设计下,文章主张,美国放弃部分在台湾及钓鱼台列屿的战略布局,中国大陆则减少在委内瑞拉及古巴的经济存在,借由相互让步换取战略空间。</p>\n\n<p>除了具体交易之外,作者认为,9月24日的川普与习近平会晤还应建立中美长期共存的基本框架,涵盖四大议题,包括:</p>\n\n<ul>\n<li>明确界定各自认定的地理势力范围;</li>\n<li>厘清经济脱钩的具体界线;</li>\n<li>确认彼此战略伙伴及其势力范围,例如欧盟、俄罗斯与伊朗;</li>\n<li>厘清中美企业可能展开竞争的中立地带,包括东南亚、南亚及非洲等地。</li>\n</ul>\n\n<p>作者认为,上述议题可在未来一年进一步讨论,并成为2027年9月川普与习近平在北京举行峰会时的主要议程,使两国战略关系从过去强调「相互确保摧毁」,转向「相互确保生存」。</p>\n<div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n  <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n  <ul>\n    <li><a href=\"/hour/article-15985.html\" title=\"〈贵金属盘后〉油价大涨助长升息机率 现货黄金跌破4300美元\">〈贵金属盘后〉油价大涨助长升息机率 现货黄金跌破4300美元</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/hour/article-15911.html\" title=\"日本百岁人瑞突破10万人大关 高龄化凸显照护与财政压力\">日本百岁人瑞突破10万人大关 高龄化凸显照护与财政压力</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/hour/article-15960.html\" title=\"美债殖利率飙近20年高!贝森特归因「全球问题」 川习会前先晤何立峰谈伊朗\">美债殖利率飙近20年高!贝森特归因「全球问题」 川习会前先晤何立峰谈伊朗</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/hour/article-15979.html\" title=\"〈能源盘后〉沙乌地Yanbu停装、取消欧洲油单 原油涨逾3美元 Brent叩关110美元\">〈能源盘后〉沙乌地Yanbu停装、取消欧洲油单 原油涨逾3美元 Brent叩关110美元</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/hour/article-15902.html\" title=\"MaiCoin携手莱尔富 加密货币支付首度支援超商消费\">MaiCoin携手莱尔富 加密货币支付首度支援超商消费</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/hour/article-15986.html\" title=\"美债殖利率冲破5%创19年新高 债市「逃逸速度」浮现进场契机\">美债殖利率冲破5%创19年新高 债市「逃逸速度」浮现进场契机</a></li>\n  </ul>\n</div>",
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    "createdAt": "2026-09-15T23:30:32.000Z",
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