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伊朗战火再起?川普改口「选前动武」仍有可能

2026-10-10 07:13:50 网络 阅读(1)

多家媒体报导,美国总统川普周五 (9 日) 被媒体问及,为何不立即对伊朗采取军事行动,而要等到期中选举之后时,他改口称:「我们可能会。」川普此前曾表示,美国不会在 11 月期中选举前攻击伊朗,但最新回应再度为选前动武留下可能性,并未说明具体行动时程。

伊朗战火再起?川普改口「选前动武」仍有可能

《Axios》周四 (8 日) 引述美方及以色列官员消息指出,美国国防部已于数日前指示中央司令部 (CENTCOM),完成重启对伊朗大规模军事行动的准备。不过,川普尚未做出最终决定。

美方与以色列消息人士透露,军事行动仍可能在美国期中选举,以及提前一周举行的以色列大选之前展开。若战事重启,美军预计将大规模轰炸伊朗的能源、基础建设及核子设施。报导分析,未来数周若爆发战事,可能推升国际油价,进而影响美国期中选举选情。

对此,国防部官员表示:「国防部的职责,就是向总统提供各种军事选项。」

白宫官员则强调,川普掌握局势主导权,并称:「美军已实质掌控荷姆兹海峡,伊朗经济正面临崩溃。伊朗已遭重创,接下来可以选择『简单』或『艰难』的道路。川普总统掌握所有筹码,将做出对美国最有利的决定。」

外交方面,美伊谈判至今仍未取得进展。由卡达协调的间接谈判管道,目前仍在等待德黑兰回应美方提出的修订方案,内容要求伊朗在核武发展问题上做出明确让步。

川普的国家安全团队上周五 (2 日) 在大卫营 (Camp David) 召开长达数小时的会议。以色列官员透露,重启对伊朗军事打击是讨论重点之一;国务卿卢比欧 (Marco Rubio) 则在会后表示,会议主要聚焦于「长期外交政策规划」。

另一名以色列官员表示:「关于重启大规模军事行动的讨论明显增加。虽然选前发动打击的机率不算高,但仍无法排除;期中选举结束后,发动攻击的可能性将大幅提升。」

与此同时,美以高层近期再度密集联系。川普周三与以色列总理尼坦雅胡 (Benjamin Netanyahu) 通话,这是两人近期第二次通话,结束先前长达数周的互动冷淡期。美方官员透露,通话内容包括悼念「10 月 7 日大屠杀」受害者。

据报导,这场通话是在尼坦雅胡与国安团队召开伊朗局势专案会议后进行。尼坦雅胡此前也于周一与卢比欧通话。消息人士指出,若美军重启对伊朗的军事行动,很可能与以色列国防军 (IDF) 联合作战。

两名以色列官员另警告,伊朗政权目前高度焦虑,对再次遭突袭抱持强烈戒心。在接连遭受两次先发制人的攻击后,德黑兰正设法避免第三次陷入被动,因此不排除伊朗可能率先采取军事行动。

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    "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6627109/l/ac55eeda37a083f85d0d1bbf950ab73e.jpg",
    "content": "<p>多家媒体报导,美国总统川普周五 (9 日) 被媒体问及,为何不立即对伊朗采取军事行动,而要等到期中选举之后时,他改口称:「我们可能会。」川普此前曾表示,美国不会在 11 月期中选举前攻击伊朗,但最新回应再度为选前动武留下可能性,并未说明具体行动时程。</p>\n<p style=\"text-align:center;\"><img src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6627109/l/ac55eeda37a083f85d0d1bbf950ab73e.jpg\" alt=\"伊朗战火再起?川普改口「选前动武」仍有可能\" style=\"width:50%;height:auto;border-radius:6px;margin:15px auto;display:block;\"></p>\n\n\n<p>《Axios》周四 (8 日) 引述美方及以色列官员消息指出,美国国防部已于数日前指示中央司令部 (CENTCOM),完成重启对伊朗大规模军事行动的准备。不过,川普尚未做出最终决定。</p>\n\n<p>美方与以色列消息人士透露,军事行动仍可能在美国期中选举,以及提前一周举行的以色列大选之前展开。若战事重启,美军预计将大规模轰炸伊朗的能源、基础建设及核子设施。报导分析,未来数周若爆发战事,可能推升国际油价,进而影响美国期中选举选情。</p>\n\n<p>对此,国防部官员表示:「国防部的职责,就是向总统提供各种军事选项。」</p>\n\n<p>白宫官员则强调,川普掌握局势主导权,并称:「美军已实质掌控荷姆兹海峡,伊朗经济正面临崩溃。伊朗已遭重创,接下来可以选择『简单』或『艰难』的道路。川普总统掌握所有筹码,将做出对美国最有利的决定。」</p>\n\n<p>外交方面,美伊谈判至今仍未取得进展。由卡达协调的间接谈判管道,目前仍在等待德黑兰回应美方提出的修订方案,内容要求伊朗在核武发展问题上做出明确让步。</p>\n\n<p>川普的国家安全团队上周五 (2 日) 在大卫营 (Camp David) 召开长达数小时的会议。以色列官员透露,重启对伊朗军事打击是讨论重点之一;国务卿卢比欧 (Marco Rubio) 则在会后表示,会议主要聚焦于「长期外交政策规划」。</p>\n\n<p>另一名以色列官员表示:「关于重启大规模军事行动的讨论明显增加。虽然选前发动打击的机率不算高,但仍无法排除;期中选举结束后,发动攻击的可能性将大幅提升。」</p>\n\n<p>与此同时,美以高层近期再度密集联系。川普周三与以色列总理尼坦雅胡 (Benjamin Netanyahu) 通话,这是两人近期第二次通话,结束先前长达数周的互动冷淡期。美方官员透露,通话内容包括悼念「10 月 7 日大屠杀」受害者。</p>\n\n<p>据报导,这场通话是在尼坦雅胡与国安团队召开伊朗局势专案会议后进行。尼坦雅胡此前也于周一与卢比欧通话。消息人士指出,若美军重启对伊朗的军事行动,很可能与以色列国防军 (IDF) 联合作战。</p>\n\n<p>两名以色列官员另警告,伊朗政权目前高度焦虑,对再次遭突袭抱持强烈戒心。在接连遭受两次先发制人的攻击后,德黑兰正设法避免第三次陷入被动,因此不排除伊朗可能率先采取军事行动。</p><div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n  <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n  <ul>\n    <li><a href=\"/hour/article-19534.html\" title=\"资深分析师大幅上调美光目标价 看好未来3至5年潜力\">资深分析师大幅上调美光目标价 看好未来3至5年潜力</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/hour/article-19548.html\" title=\"台海风险被高估?美亚太助理国务卿:习近平很「理性」、若须付出重大代价就不会动武\">台海风险被高估?美亚太助理国务卿:习近平很「理性」、若须付出重大代价就不会动武</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/hour/article-19533.html\" title=\"纽约Fed:川普关税推升美国消费品通膨2.9个百分点 物价压力恐延续一年\">纽约Fed:川普关税推升美国消费品通膨2.9个百分点 物价压力恐延续一年</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/hour/article-19598.html\" title=\"学生上街、国债破顶、预算卡关!诺奖得主克鲁曼:法国债务若暴雷 将「大到救不起」\">学生上街、国债破顶、预算卡关!诺奖得主克鲁曼:法国债务若暴雷 将「大到救不起」</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/hour/article-19586.html\" title=\"〈能源盘后〉飓风逼近 美国海上原油产量逾七成停摆 推升油价 Brent站上104美元\">〈能源盘后〉飓风逼近 美国海上原油产量逾七成停摆 推升油价 Brent站上104美元</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/hour/article-19577.html\" title=\"柴油飙涨70%!川普放话有重大消息 要狠狠压下涨势\">柴油飙涨70%!川普放话有重大消息 要狠狠压下涨势</a></li>\n  </ul>\n</div>",
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    "createdAt": "2026-10-09T22:18:17.000Z",
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