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台币贬值助攻汇兑收益 10月海外平衡型基金与美国中小型股逆势抗跌

2026-10-29 20:36:56 网络 阅读(1)

中东局势动荡,加上市场对AI庞大资本支出及科技业融资风险疑虑再起,10月全球股市震央集中在晶片、半导体及AI应用等先前涨多题材。科技股领跌引发市场震荡,在美元走强背景下,台股、亚股与新兴市场沦为外资提款机,表现较为落后;反观先前受殖利率冲击的美国中小型股、公用事业与基础建设逆势突起,避险资金亦同步转进债市。整体而言,10月基金表现债券相对优于股票。

台币贬值助攻汇兑收益 10月海外平衡型基金与美国中小型股逆势抗跌

受惠新台币兑美元贬值1.83%带来的汇兑收益,台湾金管会证期局核备的947档境外基金10月以来平均上涨0.46%。其中,611档股票型基金平均下跌0.22%,56档混合资产基金平均上涨1.04%,258档债券型基金则平均大涨1.89%。

主要区域股票型基金方面,10月以美国中小型股票大涨4.67%表现最佳,美国股票与全球股票分别以2.84%与1.55%紧追其后。美盛锐思美国小型公司机会基金经理人吉姆‧斯托菲尔分析,小型股盈余成长预估将高于大型股,主因受惠AI基础建设的资本支出与效率提升,潜在机会极为多元。反观今年涨幅显著的台股则受AI企业现金流疑虑冲击,与大中华股票及亚洲不含日本股票同步回档修正。

主要产业型基金表现分歧,先前受殖利率上行与政策影响的公用事业与基础建设基金,10月以9.97%与8.1%的涨幅领先群雄;科技基金则修正2.28%。富兰克林证券投顾建议,随着企业财报进入高峰,市场将严格检视AI支出的实际回报。投资人在资产配置上应以稳健分散为宜,核心配置建议以多元配置的美国或全球平衡型基金为主,并可搭配公用事业、美股、日股及一成左右的黄金基金,以降低投组波动并掌握轮动契机。

债券型基金在避险需求与汇兑收益加持下普遍走高,美国政府债券型与美元债券分别上涨3.87%与3.34%最为亮眼。富兰克林坦伯顿稳定月收益基金经理人爱德华‧波克指出,目前价格重估多源自技术性因素而非企业基本面转弱,正是布局高品质债券良机,更凸显跨资产与跨产业分散布局的重要性。

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      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6640389/l/065cfb12b241bb67f8f02236beee425a.jpg",
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      "description": "三丽鸥28日深夜宣布,终止《VIVANT》与三丽鸥角色联动合作。
三丽鸥称接获联名商品意见,相关内容含与企业理念不符表达。
TBS社长龙宝正峰回应,《VIVANT》为完全虚构作品,无意煽动国家对立或伤害特定国家民众。",
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    {
      "id": 22316,
      "title": "巴西总统大选败选者「人间蒸发」24小时后 抵达美国佛州迈阿密",
      "shortTitle": "巴西总统大选败选者「人间蒸发」24小时后 抵达美国佛州迈阿密",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6640152/l/2770db6a8e891800722e3bb831c77b59.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-10-29T02:59:49.000Z",
      "description": "波索纳洛28日抵达美国佛州迈阿密。
他在社群发文称未逃离巴西,将在美国领导反对派。
川普证实已批准波索纳洛一家移居美国。",
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      "name": "实时",
      "path": "/hour"
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    {
      "id": 22317,
      "title": "市场快讯》联准会升息近尾声,股市投资机会来了吗?",
      "shortTitle": "市场快讯》联准会升息近尾声,股市投资机会来了吗?",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6640377/l/b91f2cbd25dae955f61affa77ca7e060.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-10-29T02:57:49.000Z",
      "description": "联准会按兵不动,政策利率维持3.75%至4.00%,华许称美国经济仍强劲。
9月CPI年增率升至3.7%,能源价格年增率大增4.3个百分点;9月非农仅增2.9万人,失业率4.2%。
巨亨买基金认为升息循环近尾声,若美国经济软着陆,将有利美股中长期表现。",
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      "path": "/hour"
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    {
      "id": 22325,
      "title": "陆国产GPU实测硬撼辉达H200!天数智芯天垓300跨过「高质量算力」门槛",
      "shortTitle": "陆国产GPU实测硬撼辉达H200!天数智芯天垓300跨过「高",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6640219/l/dc6bf5968dc6b148cf9b6cf41985f797.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-10-29T03:50:05.000Z",
      "description": "天数智芯首度实机展示天垓300通用GPU,第三方测试称其典型PD分离部署下端到端吞吐达H200的1.05倍
天垓300在64K长上下文、MoE、Agent与多模态等场景表现提升,8卡FP8训练中单卡有效吞吐达H100的1.33倍
天垓300 IXL144超节点可降低每百万有效Token成本约40%",
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      "title": "花旗:2027年北上深等核心城市二手房价格或迎拐点",
      "shortTitle": "花旗:2027年北上深等核心城市二手房价格或迎拐点",
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      "createdAt": "2026-10-29T06:10:04.000Z",
      "description": "花旗估2027年北京、上海、深圳二手房价将现拐点,但全国房价不会全面普涨,市场将转向存量二手房主导。
截至2027年,二手房交易额占比料升至58%,规模达7.7兆元人民币。
新建案市场走弱,2027年新开工、竣工面积料年减20.5%、22%。",
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      "title": "Fed主席重申抗通膨决心!富达料升息还有戏 12月与明年3月各升1码",
      "shortTitle": "Fed主席重申抗通膨决心!富达料升息还有戏 12月与明年3月",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6640444/l/66e7b34aa21b5be3d9e7fefcc5fe0d64.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-10-29T05:56:13.000Z",
      "description": "联准会10月维持政策利率3.75%至4%不变,2官员支持再升1码,决策层对后续升息时机分歧。
华许称暂停升息不代表抗通膨转向,未来端视通膨与经济动能;Fed自2027年秋起增设策略会议、2028年采6加2新制。
富达预估12月及明年3月各升息一码,AI资本支出与经济韧性支撑高通膨,建议维持均衡配置。",
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      "id": 22334,
      "title": "挂牌满三个月 长鑫科技正式被纳为上证指数第一大权重股",
      "shortTitle": "挂牌满三个月 长鑫科技正式被纳为上证指数第一大权重股",
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      "createdAt": "2026-10-29T05:40:03.000Z",
      "description": "长鑫科技28日纳入上证综合指数,权重4.67%,跃居第一大权重股,超越农业银行与工商银行
长鑫科技同时纳入上证科创板综合指数,权重15.74%,位居成分股首位
长鑫科技7月27日科创板上市,10月28日收44.36元,单日涨3.16%,近4日累涨逾12%",
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      "id": 22339,
      "title": "Gemini重夺AI榜首 新模型击败Claude与GPT、马斯克也按赞",
      "shortTitle": "Gemini重夺AI榜首 新模型击败Claude与GPT、马",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6640535/l/223ed9a6231743a9c918db49465a6503.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-10-29T07:21:16.000Z",
      "description": "谷歌发布旗舰AI模型Gemini 4 Carbon,Artificial Analysis综合智慧指数以59分超越Claude Opus 5.5与GPT-6 Astra,重返榜首
Carbon尚未全面开放,先供部分网路安全防御人员使用
外部测试Carbon部分专项仍落后,资安与超长上下文测试表现亮眼",
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      "id": 22340,
      "title": "范斯致函伊朗高层盼重启和谈 川普澄清非亲自指示但给予肯定",
      "shortTitle": "范斯致函伊朗高层盼重启和谈 川普澄清非亲自指示但给予肯定",
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      "description": "范斯致函伊朗官员,试图建立谈判框架、重启和平谈判,避免美军新一轮打击。
川普否认指示此举,但仍放话要和伊朗「达成协议,还是彻底消灭他们」。
美方提醒中东盟友备战期中选举后可能重启空袭;伊朗称持续给予外交机会。",
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      "id": 22354,
      "title": "〈陆股盘后〉Fed按兵不动 三大指数走低",
      "shortTitle": "〈陆股盘后〉Fed按兵不动 三大指数走低",
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      "createdAt": "2026-10-29T08:30:06.000Z",
      "description": "中国A股三大指数周四收低,上证跌0.82%。
Fed如预期把维持利率在3.75%~4%,10票赞成、2票反对。
Fed官员未明确暗示12月是否升息。",
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    "description": "10月全球股市震央集中晶片、半导体与AI题材,科技股领跌,台股、亚股与新兴市场表现落后。
947档境外基金10月来平均涨0.46%;股票型跌0.22%,混合资产涨1.04%,债券型大涨1.89%。
美国中小型股涨4.67%居首;公用事业、基建与美国政府债券、美元债券亦强,基金建议分散配置。",
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