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〈贵金属盘后〉PCE通膨加深Fed升息预期 现货金价跌破4600美元

2026-08-27 09:08:35 网络 阅读(2)

金价周三(26日)续跌,美国通膨数据大致上符合预期,加深了联准会(Fed)9月可能升息的可能性,投资人等待Fed主席华许(Kevin Warsh)本周将在杰克森洞全球央行年会发表的演说。

〈贵金属盘后〉PCE通膨加深Fed升息预期 现货金价跌破4600美元

  • 黄金现货下跌1.3%,报每盎司4595.93美元,周二曾涨至5月14日以来最高。
  • 12月交割的黄金期货收低0.9%,报每盎司4653.30美元。

美元升值0.3%,使以美元计价的黄金对其他货币持有者而言更加昂贵。

Zaner Metals副总裁兼资深金属策略师Peter Grant说:「在今天数据公布前,金价走势只是一些获利了结……核心消费支出(PCE)数据大致符合预期,因此目前金价是在昨日区间里盘整。」

美国商务部经济分析局(BEA)周三公布,Fed用来设定通膨目标的PCE价格指数在截至7月的12个月上涨3.7%,略高于经济学家预估的3.6%。

根据芝商所(CME)FedWatch Tool,交易员目前认为Fed下月升息的机率为40%,高于数据公布前的36%。市场目前定价显示,Fed维持利率不变的机率为60%。

黄金本深不孳息,在高利率环境下通常会失去吸引力。

Grant表示,「我认为黄金的升势开始重新确立。因此,我确实看到金价今年有可能重新站上5000美元」,他接着补充,黄金到2027年第2季有望再创历史新高。

地缘政治方面,一名伊朗高级消息人士周三表示,伊朗与阿曼仍在敲定有关荷姆兹海峡协议的细节。伊朗革命卫队(IRGC)先前表示,两国已就如何共享这条水道及其收益达成协议。

其他贵金属交易
  • 现货白银下跌1%,报每盎司67.93美元。
  • 现货白金下跌1.4%,报每盎司1831.67美元。
  • 现货钯金下跌0.1%,报每盎司1324.63美元。

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      "title": "华为抢进埃及AI标案 拟出口2000颗升腾晶片、美国急组联盟拦截",
      "shortTitle": "华为抢进埃及AI标案 拟出口2000颗升腾晶片、美国急组联盟",
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      "description": "华为已向埃及政府积极争取建立人工智慧(AI)资料中心,供军事、监控及其他公部门使用,此举不仅展现其在全球晶片市场的野心,也引发华府的高度警戒,促使美国官员正积极研拟对策。 据消息人士及彭博新闻取得的文件,身为中国挑战辉达(NVDA-US) 的主要业者,华为针对开罗当局的招标案提出方案,计划出口1,408颗最高阶升腾950系列晶片,用于建置AI训练云端;另提供600颗同款晶片或较早推出的910B,用于两座推论丛集,以执行已完成训练的AI模型。文件显示,华为规划在12个月内完成基础设施建设。 若此案",
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      "shortTitle": "比特币反弹动能减弱 价格震荡拉回 跌至79000美元区间",
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      "description": "比特币在创下自5月11日以来新高81,255美元后,周二(25日)面临剧烈震荡,一度急跌至78,600美元的低点,至台北时间周三,其价格仍在 79,000 美元附近震荡。",
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      "title": "川普政府「暂停」所有移民签证申请!20万庇护者恐受影响",
      "shortTitle": "川普政府「暂停」所有移民签证申请!20万庇护者恐受影响",
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      "description": "川普政府暂停所有美国移民签证申请,强化「公共负担」审查,已排定面谈遭取消;另计划撤销部分庇护者签证,恐影响20万人。",
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      "title": "〈陆股盘后〉午后两市维持高档震荡 三大指数走高",
      "shortTitle": "〈陆股盘后〉午后两市维持高档震荡 三大指数走高",
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      "description": "中国A股三大指数26日(周三)开盘涨跌不一,早盘两市出现一波急涨后高档震荡,午后两市维持高档震荡态势。",
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      "title": "IMF总裁:战争引发的能源冲击尚未结束 各国央行应专注稳定物价",
      "shortTitle": "IMF总裁:战争引发的能源冲击尚未结束 各国央行应专注稳定物",
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      "description": "国际货币基金(IMF)总裁乔治艾娃(Kristalina Georgieva)周二(25日)于华盛顿总部发表演说,警告全球经济虽然展现韧性,但正面临一场激烈的「拉锯战」",
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      "id": 12903,
      "title": "柜买量能冲破月均线!中小型股全面喷发,短线回升行情启动关键!",
      "shortTitle": "柜买量能冲破月均线!中小型股全面喷发,短线回升行情启动关键!",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6587819/l/d26cab3d072a8d65e4c39ea1c257a43a.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-08-26T09:45:07.000Z",
      "description": "美债殖利率下滑为科技股带来喘息空间,柜买爆量、浮额沉淀,宣告中小型股回升行情正式启动!然而逼近下弯季线反压,在重磅总经数据开牌前,如何精准掌握「高出低进」节奏? 〈量能没有退,反弹行情仍有延续条件〉 昨日美国10年期公债殖利率回落,对科技成长股评价提供舒缓空间,今天台股开盘虽然一度走低,但中小型股为主的柜买市场,从早盘开始预估成交量就明显放大,而且指数持续走扬,柜买成交值高于月平均水准,这其实一直呼应智霖老师前面一直提醒的事情,月线支撑附近不是看到震荡就恐慌,反而要观察筹码沉淀后有没有重新布局的",
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      "id": 12904,
      "title": "研究机构:美关税政策将使家庭每年多支出逾1000美元",
      "shortTitle": "研究机构:美关税政策将使家庭每年多支出逾1000美元",
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      "createdAt": "2026-08-26T09:10:06.000Z",
      "description": "根据非党派政策研究中心耶鲁预算实验室(Yale Budget Lab)最新估算,美国实施的关税政策,将使典型美国家庭每年多支出超过1,000美元。",
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      "id": 12905,
      "title": "川普关税理由站不住脚?《纽时》美最高法院、国会面临制衡行政权关键考验",
      "shortTitle": "川普关税理由站不住脚?《纽时》美最高法院、国会面临制衡行政权",
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      "title": "联合干预难敌卖压 忧日元汇率再逼近160关卡 日企要求5-10年「超长天期」避险",
      "shortTitle": "联合干预难敌卖压 忧日元汇率再逼近160关卡 日企要求5-1",
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      "createdAt": "2026-08-26T10:20:06.000Z",
      "description": "日元汇率近期再度逼近1美元兑160日元关卡,尽管美日政府曾在2022年、2024年及2026年进行联合汇市干预,但日元走势依然疲软。",
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  "article": {
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    "title": "〈贵金属盘后〉PCE通膨加深Fed升息预期 现货金价跌破4600美元",
    "shortTitle": "〈贵金属盘后〉PCE通膨加深Fed升息预期 现货金价跌破46",
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    "description": "金价周三(26日)续跌,美国通膨数据大致上符合预期,加深了联准会(Fed)9月可能升息的可能性,投资人等待Fed主席华许(Kevin Warsh)本周将在杰克森洞全球央行年会发表的演说。 黄金现货下跌1.3%,报每盎司4595.93美元,周二曾涨至5月14日以来最高。 12月交割的黄金期货收低0.9%,报每盎司4653.30美元。 美元升值0.3%,使以美元计价的黄金对其他货币持有者而言更加昂贵。 Zaner Metals副总裁兼资深金属策略师Peter Grant说:「在今天数据公布前,金价走",
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    "content": "<p>金价周三(26日)续跌,美国通膨数据大致上符合预期,加深了联准会(Fed)9月可能升息的可能性,投资人等待Fed主席华许(Kevin Warsh)本周将在杰克森洞全球央行年会发表的演说。</p>\n<p style=\"text-align:center;\"><img src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6587673/l/5e20c1bc26bce5778cea41b7a2592fd6.jpg\" alt=\"〈贵金属盘后〉PCE通膨加深Fed升息预期 现货金价跌破4600美元\" style=\"width:50%;height:auto;border-radius:6px;margin:15px auto;display:block;\"></p>\n\n\n<ul>\n<li>黄金现货下跌1.3%,报每盎司4595.93美元,周二曾涨至5月14日以来最高。</li>\n<li>12月交割的黄金期货收低0.9%,报每盎司4653.30美元。</li>\n</ul>\n\n<p>美元升值0.3%,使以美元计价的黄金对其他货币持有者而言更加昂贵。</p>\n\n<p>Zaner Metals副总裁兼资深金属策略师Peter Grant说:「在今天数据公布前,金价走势只是一些获利了结&hellip;&hellip;核心消费支出(PCE)数据大致符合预期,因此目前金价是在昨日区间里盘整。」</p>\n\n<p>美国商务部经济分析局(BEA)周三公布,Fed用来设定通膨目标的PCE价格指数在截至7月的12个月上涨3.7%,略高于经济学家预估的3.6%。</p>\n\n<p>根据芝商所(CME)FedWatch Tool,交易员目前认为Fed下月升息的机率为40%,高于数据公布前的36%。市场目前定价显示,Fed维持利率不变的机率为60%。</p>\n\n<p>黄金本深不孳息,在高利率环境下通常会失去吸引力。</p>\n\n<p>Grant表示,「我认为黄金的升势开始重新确立。因此,我确实看到金价今年有可能重新站上5000美元」,他接着补充,黄金到2027年第2季有望再创历史新高。</p>\n\n<p>地缘政治方面,一名伊朗高级消息人士周三表示,伊朗与阿曼仍在敲定有关荷姆兹海峡协议的细节。伊朗革命卫队(IRGC)先前表示,两国已就如何共享这条水道及其收益达成协议。</p>\n\n<h6>其他贵金属交易</h6>\n\n<ul>\n<li>现货白银下跌1%,报每盎司67.93美元。</li>\n<li>现货白金下跌1.4%,报每盎司1831.67美元。</li>\n<li>现货钯金下跌0.1%,报每盎司1324.63美元。</li>\n</ul><div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n  <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n  <ul>\n    <li><a href=\"/hour/article-12948.html\" title=\"结构性通膨来了!富达示警投资版图重塑 最好手握「金山银矿」这三大资产\">结构性通膨来了!富达示警投资版图重塑 最好手握「金山银矿」这三大资产</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/hour/article-12904.html\" title=\"研究机构:美关税政策将使家庭每年多支出逾1000美元\">研究机构:美关税政策将使家庭每年多支出逾1000美元</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/hour/article-12875.html\" title=\"比特币反弹动能减弱 价格震荡拉回 跌至79000美元区间\">比特币反弹动能减弱 价格震荡拉回 跌至79000美元区间</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/hour/article-12943.html\" title=\"长鑫科技记忆体LPDDR6传进入量产!小米玄戒O3或成首款支援新记忆体的SoC\">长鑫科技记忆体LPDDR6传进入量产!小米玄戒O3或成首款支援新记忆体的SoC</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/hour/article-12905.html\" title=\"川普关税理由站不住脚?《纽时》美最高法院、国会面临制衡行政权关键考验\">川普关税理由站不住脚?《纽时》美最高法院、国会面临制衡行政权关键考验</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/hour/article-12874.html\" title=\"华为抢进埃及AI标案 拟出口2000颗升腾晶片、美国急组联盟拦截\">华为抢进埃及AI标案 拟出口2000颗升腾晶片、美国急组联盟拦截</a></li>\n  </ul>\n</div>",
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    "createdAt": "2026-08-26T22:57:24.000Z",
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